From the Wires
Manulife Financial reports 3Q12 net loss of $227 million after absorbing a $1 billion charge related to the annual review of actuarial assumptions and a $200 million goodwill write-off. We generated core earnings of $556 million and achieved our 2014 hedg
Nov. 8, 2012 06:01 AM
C$ unless otherwise stated
TSX/NYSE/PSE: MFC
SEHK:945
Substantive progress towards strategic priorities:
-
Developing our Asian opportunity to the fullest - Record insurance sales1 in South East Asia2; sales tracking ahead of our expectations from expanded distribution
with Bank Danamon in Indonesia; and further enhanced our distribution
network with additional distribution partners in Malaysia and Japan.
-
Growing our wealth and asset management businesses in the U.S., Canada
and Asia - Recorded positive net flows which contributed to another quarter of
record funds under management1; delivered strong sales in North American mutual fund and pension
businesses; awarded an additional Qualified Foreign Institutional
Investor (QFII) quota from China; commenced Manulife Asset Management
operations in Korea; and John Hancock Mutual Funds was designated a
Preferred Fund Family by Edward Jones.
-
Continuing to build our balanced Canadian franchise - Strong Group Retirement Solutions and Affinity sales; solid sales in
Individual Insurance products aligned with lower new business risk
strategy; record net assets in Manulife Bank; expanded mutual fund
distribution with the recent acquisition of Wellington West Financial
Services Inc.; and launched Manulife Private Wealth.
-
Continuing to grow higher ROE1, lower risk U.S. businesses - Record third quarter sales in 401(k) business; solid sales in life
business with a more favourable mix; six additional state approvals for
Long-Term Care in-force re-pricing; launched a redesigned lower risk
Long-Term Care product and a new full service group annuity offering in
John Hancock Retirement Plan Services; and recorded positive net flows
in mutual funds.
Highlights:
-
Insurance sales declined eight per cent as compared to the third quarter
of 2011, primarily due to a one-time event in the prior year.
-
Delivered a four per cent increase in wealth sales over the third
quarter of 2011.
-
Reported strong investment gains of $413 million, of which $50 million
was included in core earnings1, a new metric introduced in the third quarter.
-
Generated new business embedded value1 of $178 million.
-
Achieved record funds under management ("FUM") of $515 billion.
-
Ended the quarter with an MLI MCCSR ratio of 204 per cent.
-
Net income in accordance with U.S. GAAP1 for the third quarter was $481 million.
-----------------------------------------------
1 This item is a non-GAAP measure. See "Performance and Non-GAAP
Measures" below.
2 South East Asia refers to Indonesia, Philippines, Singapore, Malaysia,
Thailand, Vietnam, and Cambodia.
TORONTO, Nov. 8, 2012 /PRNewswire/ - Manulife Financial Corporation ("MFC")
announced today a net loss attributed to shareholders of $227 million,
a loss per share of $0.14 and return on common shareholders' equity
("ROE") of (4.6) per cent for the quarter ended September 30, 2012. The
quarter's results included a $1,006 million net charge related to the
annual review of our actuarial methods and assumptions and a $200
million impairment of goodwill. These items were partially offset by a
$413 million favourable impact of investing activities.
In the third quarter of 2012, we are introducing core earnings, a new
metric, to help investors better understand our long-term earnings
capacity and enterprise value. For more details on this non-GAAP
measure see Section A of the Management's Discussion and Analysis. Core
earnings measure the underlying profitability of the business and
remove mark-to-market accounting driven volatility as well as a number
of items that are material and exceptional in nature. While this metric
is relevant to how we manage our business and offers a consistent
methodology, it is not insulated from macro-economic factors which can
have a significant impact. In the third quarter of 2012, Manulife
generated $556 million of core earnings. For the quarter, the fully
diluted core earnings per common share excluding convertible
instruments ("core EPS")3, was $0.29 and core return on common shareholders' equity ("core ROE")3 was 9.3 per cent.
Donald Guloien, President and Chief Executive Officer, stated "We have
made significant progress towards our strategic priorities this quarter
- we expanded our distribution networks and continued to develop our
franchises; saw growth in our North American mutual fund businesses,
and again delivered record funds under management."
"We have now achieved our equity and interest rate hedging targets two
years ahead of our 2014 goals, further reducing volatility of
earnings," added Mr. Guloien.
Mr. Guloien continued, "The quarter was not without its challenges. We
incurred a $1 billion charge for basis changes, largely related to the
impact of the current macro-economic climate on our actuarial
assumptions as well as products and businesses that are not a
substantial part of our go-forward business plans, and we wrote off
$200 million of goodwill."
"This quarter we introduced the core earnings metric to measure the
underlying profitability of our business," said Steve Roder, Chief
Financial Officer. "The core earnings metric is intended to remove the
mark-to-market accounting volatility as well as material exceptional
items from earnings and helps investors determine the long-term
earnings capacity and valuation of our business," added Mr. Roder.
Mr. Roder continued, "We ended the quarter with a capital ratio of 204
per cent, which is further supported by our significant hedging
programs. The ratio declined from the second quarter largely due to the
reported loss and an increase in required capital for asset and
segregated fund guarantee risks."
"As previously disclosed, we indicated that there were significant
headwinds over the past two years that have impacted the achievability
of our 2015 objectives. While the macro-economic environment continues
to put pressure on our businesses, we are making progress against our
strategic priorities and have increased our focus on improving the
efficiency and effectiveness of our operations globally. We have
shifted our goal of $4 billion in net income by 2015 by roughly a year,
and we are now targeting $4 billion in core earnings in 2016 based on
our macro-economic and other assumptions. Our revised objective uses a
core earnings target metric, which is consistent with measuring the
underlying profitability of our business. We look forward to updating
you on our strategic and financial objectives at our Institutional
Investor Day next week," said Mr. Roder.
________________________
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3
|
This item is a non-GAAP measure. See "Performance and Non-GAAP Measures"
below.
|
Highlights for the Third Quarter of 2012:
-
Insurance sales declined4 eight per cent as compared to the third quarter of 2011, as a result of
the non-recurrence of a U.S. event in the prior year. Manulife
delivered record insurance sales in South East Asia driven by record
sales in Indonesia, as well as solid sales in Affinity in Canada and
John Hancock Life in the U.S. (for more detail see Sales and Business Growth section that follows).
-
Delivered a four per cent increase in wealth sales over the third
quarter of 2011 and again delivered record funds under management
("FUM") of $515 billion, despite the challenging macro-economic
environment (for more detail see Sales and Business Growth section that follows).
-
Achieved equity market and interest rate hedging targets and realized
these targets two years ahead of our 2014 goals:
-
We have surpassed our 2014 risk reduction goal for equity market
earnings sensitivity with actions taken in the third quarter, and
surpassed our interest rate earnings sensitivity targets in the third
quarter of 2011.
-
We added approximately $700 million of total guaranteed value to our
dynamic hedging program and added $1.1 billion of equity future
notionals to our macro hedging program.
-
Reported net loss attributed to shareholders of $227 million:
-
The net loss attributed to shareholders was primarily due to a $1,006
million net charge related to our annual review of our actuarial
methods and assumptions and a $200 million goodwill impairment charge.
These items were partially offset by a $413 million favourable impact
of investing activities.
-
The $1,006 million net charge related to our annual review of our
actuarial methods and assumptions included $1,120 million related to
the impact of the current macro-economic climate on our lapse and
withdrawal assumptions for the U.S. Variable Annuity Guaranteed Minimum
Withdrawal Benefits as well as lapse assumptions for certain U.S.
Universal Life products and updates to bond fund return parameters for
segregated fund guarantees; $244 million for updates to the Actuarial
Standards of Practice related to equity calibration for stochastic
models used to value segregated fund guarantee liabilities, partially
offset by a net $358 million favourable impact for a number of other
items.
-
The goodwill impairment charge of $200 million was due to the impact of
continued low interest rates on our Canadian Individual Insurance
business. The charge had no impact on MLI's MCCSR ratio.
-
Net income attributed to shareholders for the nine months ended
September 30, 2012 was $679 million as compared to $198 million for the
first nine months of 2011.
-
Reported core earnings of $556 million for the third quarter which was
marginally lower than the second quarter of 2012:
-
The $27 million decrease in core earnings from the second quarter of
2012 reflects the impact of the second quarter product change in Hong
Kong and tax change in Japan, which drove record second quarter sales
and second quarter new business gains that did not reoccur in the third
quarter.
-
New business strain improved in Canada and the U.S. over the prior
quarter due to improved pricing of life insurance products.
-
Core earnings for the nine months ended September 30, 2012 was $1,650
million as compared to $1,796 million for the first nine months of
2011.
-
Generated investment gains of $413 million, $50 million of which was included in core earnings.
The investment gains related to investment activity including market
gains on non-fixed income investments in the third quarter in excess of
returns assumed in the measurement of policy liabilities, the positive
impact on the measurement of policy liabilities of originating more
favourable investments than assumed in measurement models, and the
positive impact on the measurement of policy liabilities of fixed
income trading activities to lengthen the portfolio.
-
Generated new business embedded value ("NBEV")5, of $178 million in the third quarter of 2012 which was largely in line with the third quarter of 2011.
-
Ended the quarter with an MCCSR ratio of 204 per cent for The
Manufacturers Life Insurance Company ("MLI"). The MCCSR ratio was lower than the previous quarter largely due to the
net loss in the quarter and the increase in required capital for asset
and segregated fund guarantee risks. Our capital position is further
supported by our hedging programs.
-
Received six additional state approvals on Long-Term Care price increases on in-force retail business bringing our total
approvals to 41 states.
-
Reduced our risk to adverse policyholder behaviour by coinsuring a block of U.S. fixed deferred annuity business, resulting
in a one percentage point benefit to MLI's MCCSR ratio.
-
Net income in accordance with U.S. GAAP6 for the third quarter was $481 million, or $708 million higher than our results under IFRS, which incorporates
the Canadian Asset Liability Method to measure policyholder liabilities
in accordance with IFRS 47, Insurance Contracts. Total equity in accordance with U.S. GAAP was
$17.2 billion higher than under IFRS. The primary driver of the
quarter's higher U.S. GAAP earnings compared to IFRS earnings relates
to the updates to the actuarial methods and assumptions and the IFRS
goodwill impairment which did not impact U.S. GAAP.
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3 months ending
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9 months ending
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C$ millions (unless otherwise stated)
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3Q 2012
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2Q 2012
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3Q 2011
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Sept 2012
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Sept 2011
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Net income (loss) attributed to shareholders
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(227)
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(300)
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(1,277)
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679
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198
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Common shareholders' net income (loss)
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(258)
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(328)
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(1,299)
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596
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134
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Direct impact of equity markets & interest rates
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(88)
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(727)
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(889)
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(740)
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(1,217)
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Net income (loss) excluding the direct impact of equity markets and
interest rates6
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(139)
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427
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(388)
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1,419
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1,415
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Items excluded from core earnings other than the direct impact of equity
markets and interest rates
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(695)
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(156)
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(1,012)
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(231)
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(381)
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Core earnings6
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556
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583
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624
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1,650
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1,796
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Basic EPS (C$)
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(0.14)
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(0.18)
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(0.73)
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0.33
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0.08
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Core EPS (in C$)6
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0.29
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0.31
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|
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0.34
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|
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0.87
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|
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0.97
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ROE6 (annualized) (%)
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(4.6)%
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(5.8)%
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(22.4)%
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3.5%
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0.8%
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Core ROE6 (annualized) (%)
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9.3%
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9.8%
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10.4%
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9.2%
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10.2%
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FUM6 (C$ billions)
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515
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514
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492
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515
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492
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________________________
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4
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Sales, premiums and deposits and funds under management growth (decline)
rates are quoted on a constant currency basis. Constant currency is a
non-GAAP measure. See "Performance and Non-GAAP Measures" below.
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5
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This item is a non-GAAP measure. See "Performance and Non-GAAP Measures"
below.
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6
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This item is a non-GAAP measure. See "Performance and Non-GAAP Measures"
below.
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7
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The Canadian version of IFRS uses IFRS as issued by the International
Accounting Standards Board. However, because IFRS does not have a
comprehensive insurance contract measurement standard, we continue to
use the Canadian Asset Liability Method (CALM) to measure policyholder
liabilities in accordance with IFRS 4, Insurance Contracts.
|
SALES AND BUSINESS GROWTH
Asia Division
Robert Cook, President and Chief Executive Officer of Manulife Financial
Asia Limited, stated, "As expected, insurance sales have come down from
the record highs of the first and second quarters, but we continue to
successfully execute our strategy of building a diverse, multi-channel
distribution system across the region. In the third quarter, we had a
very successful start to our expanded relationship with Bank Danamon in
Indonesia. We added bank distributors in Malaysia and Japan and
delivered double digit growth in agents over the prior year."
Asia Division insurance sales of US$296 million for the third quarter of
2012 were consistent with sales in the third quarter of 2011.
-
Indonesia insurance sales of US$30 million set a new quarterly record.
Sales were 38 per cent higher than the same period last year driven by
continued strong growth in the bancassurance channel.
-
In Japan, insurance sales of US$148 million were slightly lower than the
third quarter of 2011. The 73 per cent increase in term product sales
compared with the third quarter in 2011 were more than offset by lower
cancer product sales as a result of a change in the tax treatment of
this product earlier this year.
-
Hong Kong insurance sales of US$55 million were down seven per cent from
the third quarter of 2011 as agent productivity declined, following
strong sales results in the second quarter in advance of price
increases.
-
Other Asia (Asia excluding Hong Kong, Japan and Indonesia) insurance
sales of US$63 million were five per cent lower than the third quarter
of 2011. Growth across most territories was more than offset by a
decline in sales of our recently repriced U.S. dollar participating
product in Taiwan.
Third quarter 2012 wealth sales of US$1.1 billion were 22 per cent
higher than the third quarter of 2011.
-
Other Asia wealth sales were US$571 million, 61 per cent higher than the
third quarter of 2011. The key driver was China where strong bond sales
in Manulife TEDA delivered wealth sales of more than two and a half
times the third quarter of 2011.
-
Indonesia wealth sales of US$174 million were nine per cent higher than
the third quarter of 2011, driven by mutual fund sales.
-
Japan wealth sales of US$178 million were six per cent higher than the
same quarter a year ago. Foreign fixed annuity sales grew more than
150 per cent from the third quarter of 2011, despite lower interest
rates, which offset the impact of two variable annuity product
withdrawals during the quarter.
-
Hong Kong wealth sales of US$167 million were 22 per cent lower than the
third quarter of 2011. Contributing to the decline were lower equity
fund sales due to client preferences for bond funds and lower pension
sales in advance of the November 2012 launch of the Employee Choice
Arrangement as part of the Mandatory Provident Fund.
We continued to successfully expand distribution capacity in both agency
and bank channels, key pillars of our Asian growth strategy.
Distribution highlights include:
-
Insurance sales through the bank channel grew 42 per cent over third
quarter 2011 levels. In Indonesia, insurance sales through the bank
channel were three times higher than the same period in 2011 with
strong growth from several bank partners, including Bank Danamon.
-
Contracted agents at the end of September 2012 were more than 51,000, up
11 per cent from the end of September 2011.
Canada Division
"We continue to build our diversified Canadian franchise," said Paul
Rooney, President and Chief Executive Officer, Manulife Canada. "Over
the past twelve months, the Manulife Mutual Funds business was the
fastest growing franchise of the top ten fund management companies
reporting to IFIC measured by growth in assets under management8. During the quarter, we launched Manulife Private Wealth to focus on
providing personalized wealth management and banking solutions to high
net worth customers. In the first half of the year, our Group
businesses led the industry in sales9 and, during the third quarter, continued to produce solid results.
Individual Insurance continued to drive our desired shift in mix of
business and year-to-date travel sales reached record levels."
According to the most recent industry information, both Group Retirement
Solutions (GRS) and Group Benefits led the Canadian industry in sales9 in the first half of the year. GRS' third quarter sales of $222 million
were 17 per cent higher than the same period a year ago, reflecting
strong cross selling results with over 50 per cent of sales resulting
from relationships shared with Group Benefits. Group Benefits' sales of
$71 million declined 16 per cent from the third quarter of 2011,
reflecting normal variability of sales in the group market.
Individual Insurance sales continued to align with our strategy to
reduce new business risk, with a significantly lower proportion of
sales with guaranteed long duration features compared to the same
period a year ago. Third quarter sales of recurring premium products of
$66 million were modestly above third quarter 2011 levels, reflecting
strong growth in non-guaranteed long duration products offset by lower
guaranteed product sales. Third quarter single premium sales of $81
million were seven per cent above the third quarter 2011, driven by
continued expansion in travel insurance. Record year-to-date travel
insurance sales increased 28 per cent compared to the first nine months
of 2011.
Individual Wealth Management sales of $2.1 billion in the quarter were
six per cent lower than the same period last year, dampened by the
competitive and macro-economic environment.
-
As at September 30, 2012, Manulife Bank achieved record net assets of
over $21 billion driven by strong client retention and record new
lending volumes of $3.5 billion year-to-date. New lending volumes for
the quarter of $1.1 billion were down modestly from third quarter 2011
levels.
-
Manulife Mutual Funds (MMF) assets under management (AUM) were a record
$19.6 billion as at September 30, 2012, up 16 per cent from September
30, 2011. Industry AUM8 increased by 10 per cent over the same period. MMF third quarter gross
retail sales of $459 million increased by 20 per cent from the second
quarter of 2012 and were nine per cent higher than the third quarter of
2011. The growth reflects the impact of increased penetration on third
party recommended lists, success of a number of recently launched
funds, and continued strong performance in balanced and fixed income
fund categories.
-
Sales of segregated fund products of $461 million in the quarter were 13
per cent below the same period last year. Fixed rate product sales also
continued at lower levels, reflecting the continued low interest rate
environment.
________________________
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8
|
Based on reporting from the Investment Funds Institute of Canada (IFIC)
as at September 30, 2012.
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9
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Based on quarterly LIMRA industry sales report as at June 30, 2012.
|
U.S. Division
Craig Bromley, President, John Hancock Financial Services, reported, "We
are very pleased with our third quarter results, as strong sales in
both Retirement Plan Services and Mutual Funds contributed to record
funds under management in both businesses. We also continued to expand
future growth opportunities extending our market reach with a new
product offering in Retirement Plan Services and broadening
distribution relationships in Mutual Funds where we recently attained
Preferred Fund Family status in Edward Jones. This status furthers our
position as a world class provider of asset management services."
Wealth management sales (excluding Variable Annuities) were US$4.7
billion, an increase of 12 per cent from the same quarter in the prior
year driven by increased sales in both John Hancock Retirement Plan
Services ("JH RPS") and John Hancock Mutual Funds ("JH Funds").
-
JH RPS sales of US$1.5 billion were a record third quarter result and
represented an increase of 29 per cent compared with the same quarter
in the prior year as JH RPS capitalized on high plan turnover in the
market. Together with strong equity markets this helped drive funds
under management to a record US$71 billion as at September 30, 2012, a
20 per cent increase from September 30, 2011. In September 2012, JH RPS
launched "TotalCare", a full service group annuity to expand sales
opportunities in the 401(k) market.
-
JH Funds achieved record funds under management as at September 30, 2012
of US$41 billion, a 26 per cent increase from September 30, 2011. Third
quarter sales increased nine per cent to US$3.1 billion compared with
the same quarter in the prior year. A strong product line and success
in adding our funds to strategic partner recommended lists, as well as
a focused sales and marketing campaign, helped to drive these results.
JH Funds experienced positive net sales10 in the non-proprietary market segment, while the overall industry
incurred net redemptions year-to-date through September 2012. As of
September 30, 2012, JH Funds offered 22 Four- or Five-Star Morningstar11 rated equity and fixed income mutual funds.
-
The John Hancock Lifestyle and Target Date portfolios offered through
our mutual fund, 401(k), variable annuity and variable life products
had assets under management of US$79.2 billion as of September 30,
2012, a 19 per cent increase over September 30, 2011. Lifestyle funds
led JH Funds sales with US$413 million in the third quarter of 2012, an
increase of five per cent over the same period in the prior year.
Lifestyle and Target Date portfolios offered through our 401(k)
products continued to be the most attractive offerings, with US$2.4
billion or 70 per cent of premiums and deposits12 in the third quarter of 2012, an increase of 14 per cent over the same
quarter in the prior year. As of September 30, 2012, John Hancock was
the fourth largest manager of assets in the U.S. for Lifestyle and
Target Date funds offered through retail mutual funds and variable
insurance products13.
-
John Hancock Annuities ("JH Annuities") sales declined as a result of
management actions to reduce our risk exposure on fixed deferred and
variable annuity businesses. We recently announced our decision to
stop writing new business related to these products.
Insurance sales in the U.S. for the third quarter declined 20 per cent
compared with the same period in the prior year due to the
non-recurrence of the 2011 Federal Long Term Care plan open enrollment.
Excluding the Federal Long Term Care plan sales, insurance sales
increased 11 per cent. New products with favourable risk
characteristics contributed positively to the results and the
businesses continued to execute on strategies to reduce risk and raise
margins.
-
John Hancock Life ("JH Life") sales of US$142 million were up 14 per
cent over third quarter 2011. Newly launched products continued to
contribute to the sales success, with Protection UL sales of US$40
million and Indexed UL sales of US$10 million.
-
John Hancock Long Term Care ("JH LTC") sales of US$13 million in the
third quarter declined 81 per cent compared with the same period in
2011. Excluding the Federal Long Term Care plan sales, JH LTC sales
declined by 19 per cent, reflecting the impact of new business price
increases implemented in 2011 and 2012. A new product, launched in 36
states in the third quarter, passes investment performance results to
the customer, thereby reducing risk to the Company and providing upside
potential to the customer.
________________________
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10
|
Source: Strategic Insight SIMFUND. Net sales (net new flows) is
calculated using retail long-term open end mutual funds for managers in
the non-proprietary channel. Figures exclude money market and 529 share
classes.
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11
|
For each fund with at least a 3-year history, Morningstar calculates a
Morningstar Rating based on a Morningstar Risk-Adjusted Return that
accounts for variation in a fund's monthly performance (including
effects of sales charges, loads and redemption fees), placing more
emphasis on downward variations and rewarding consistent performance.
The top 10% of funds in each category, the next 22.5%, 35%, 22.5% and
bottom 10% receive 5, 4, 3, 2 or 1 star, respectively. The Overall
Morningstar Rating for a fund is derived from a weighted average of the
performance associated with its 3-, 5- and 10 year (if applicable)
Morningstar Rating metrics. Past performance is no guarantee of future
results. The overall rating includes the effects of sales charges,
loads and redemption fees, while the load-waived does not. Load-waived
rating for Class A shares should only be considered by investors who
are not subject to a front-end sales charge.
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12
|
This item is a non-GAAP measure. See "Performance and Non-GAAP
Measures" below.
|
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13
|
Source: Strategic Insight. Includes Lifestyle and Lifecycle (Target
Date) mutual fund assets and fund-of-funds variable insurance product
assets (variable annuity and variable life).
|
MANULIFE ASSET MANAGEMENT
Assets managed by Manulife Asset Management increased by $20.7 billion
to $227.5 billion as at September 30, 2012 compared with September 30,
2011. At September 30, 2012, Manulife Asset Management had a total of
61 Four- and Five-Star Morningstar rated funds. This represents an
increase of seven funds from September 30, 2011.
CORPORATE ITEMS
In a separate news release today, the Company announced that the Board
of Directors approved a quarterly shareholders' dividend of $0.13 per
share on the common shares of the Company, payable on and after
December 19, 2012 to shareholders of record at the close of business on
November 20, 2012.
The Board of Directors approved that in respect of the Company's
December 19, 2012 common share dividend payment date, the Company will
issue common shares in connection with the reinvestment of dividends
and optional cash purchases pursuant to the Company's Canadian Dividend
Reinvestment and Share Purchase Plan and its U.S. Dividend Reinvestment
and Share Purchase Plan.
AWARDS & RECOGNITION
In Canada, Manulife Financial was named one of Canada's Top 100 Employers for the
second consecutive year, and was also recognized by Mediacorp as a Top
Employer for Young People. The awards recognize Manulife's leadership
position in attracting and retaining top talent and providing career
development and advancement opportunities.
In the U.S., John Hancock was one of the top overall winners in the "Best of the
American Business Awards" for 2012. John Hancock was the only financial
services company in the top ten rankings this year.
Our wealth businesses received a number of awards:
-
In Hong Kong, at The Asset 2012 Triple A Investment Awards, a Manulife
portfolio manager won "Fund Manager of the Year - Long-Only Fixed
Income Manager - Gold award" for his management of the RMB Bond Fund.
-
In Canada, a panel of the leading sell-side analysts and sales
professionals at Brendan Wood International named a Large Cap Growth
Equity Manager at Manulife Asset Management among their "Canadian
TopGun Investment Minds".
-
In Indonesia, Manulife Syariah Sektoral Amanah was recognized as "Best
Syariah 2012" in the three-year category by Investor Magazine.
Notes:
Manulife Financial Corporation will host a Third Quarter Earnings
Results Conference Call at 2:00 p.m. ET on November 8, 2012. For local
and international locations, please call 416-340-2216 and toll free in
North America please call 1-866-898-9626. Please call in ten minutes
before the call starts. You will be required to provide your name and
organization to the operator. A playback of this call will be
available by 6:00 p.m. ET on November 8, 2012 until November 22, 2012
by calling 905-694-9451 or 1-800-408-3053 (passcode: 6718073#).
The conference call will also be webcast through Manulife Financial's
website at 2:00 p.m. ET on November 8, 2012. You may access the webcast
at: www.manulife.com/quarterlyreports. An archived version of the webcast will be available at 4:30 p.m. ET on
the website at the same URL as above.
The Third Quarter 2012 Statistical Information Package is also available
on the Manulife Financial website at: www.manulife.com/quarterlyreports. The document may be downloaded before the webcast begins.
MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS
This Management's Discussion and Analysis ("MD&A") is current as of
November 8, 2012, unless otherwise noted. This MD&A should be read in
conjunction with the MD&A and audited consolidated financial statements
contained in our 2011 Annual Report.
For further information relating to our risk management practices and
risk factors affecting the Company, see "Risk Factors" in our most
recent Annual Information Form, "Risk Management and Risk Factors" and
"Critical Accounting and Actuarial Policies" in the MD&A in our 2011
Annual Report and the "Risk Management" note to the consolidated
financial statements in our most recent annual and interim reports.
|
Contents
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
A
|
|
OVERVIEW
|
|
|
D
|
|
RISK MANAGEMENT AND RISK FACTORS UPDATE
|
|
1.
|
|
Introduction of core earnings
|
|
|
1.
|
|
General macro-economic risk factors
|
|
2.
|
|
Third quarter highlights
|
|
|
2.
|
|
Regulatory capital, actuarial and accounting risks
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.
|
|
Additional risks - Entities within the MFC Group are interconnected
which may make separation difficult
|
|
B
|
|
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
|
|
|
4.
|
|
Variable annuity and segregated fund guarantees
|
|
1.
|
|
Third quarter earnings (loss) analysis
|
|
|
5.
|
|
Publicly traded equity performance risk
|
|
2.
|
|
Year-to-date earnings analysis
|
|
|
6.
|
|
Interest rate and spread risk
|
|
3.
|
|
U.S. GAAP results
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.
|
|
Sales, premiums and deposits
|
|
|
E
|
|
ACCOUNTING MATTERS AND CONTROLS
|
|
5.
|
|
Funds under management
|
|
|
1.
|
|
Critical accounting and actuarial policies
|
|
6.
|
|
Capital
|
|
|
2.
|
|
Actuarial methods and assumptions
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.
|
|
Sensitivity of policy liabilities to updates to assumptions
|
|
C
|
|
PERFORMANCE BY DIVISION
|
|
|
4.
|
|
Future accounting and reporting changes
|
|
1.
|
|
Asia
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.
|
|
Canada
|
|
|
F
|
|
OTHER
|
|
3.
|
|
U.S.
|
|
|
1.
|
|
Performance and non-GAAP measures
|
|
4.
|
|
Corporate and Other
|
|
|
2.
|
|
Caution regarding forward-looking statements
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
A OVERVIEW
A1 Introduction of core earnings
The Company introduced a "core earnings" non-GAAP measure to help
investors better understand the long-term earnings capacity and
valuation of the business. Core earnings excludes the direct impact of
equity markets and interest rates as well as a number of other items,
outlined below, that are considered material and exceptional in nature.
This metric is not insulated from macro-economic factors which can have
a significant impact. Any future changes to the core earnings
definition referred to below will be disclosed.
Items excluded from core earnings are:
-
The direct impact of equity markets and interest rates, consisting of:
-
Income (loss) on variable annuity guarantee liabilities not dynamically
hedged.
-
Income (loss) on general fund equity investments supporting policy
liabilities and on fee income.
-
Gains (losses) on macro equity hedges relative to expected costs. The
expected cost of macro hedges is calculated using the equity
assumptions used in the valuation of policy liabilities.
-
Gains (charges) on higher (lower) fixed income reinvestment rates
assumed in the valuation of policy liabilities, including the impact on
the fixed income ultimate reinvestment rate ("URR").
-
Gains (losses) on sale of available-for-sale ("AFS") bonds and open
derivatives not in hedging relationships in the Corporate and Other
segment.
-
The earnings impact of the difference between the net increase
(decrease) in variable annuity liabilities that are dynamically hedged
and the performance of the related hedge assets. Our variable annuity
dynamic hedging strategy is not designed to completely offset the
sensitivity of policy liabilities to all risks or measurements
associated with the guarantees embedded in these products for a number
of reasons, including: provisions for adverse deviation, fund
performance, the portion of the interest rate risk that is not
dynamically hedged, realized equity and interest rate volatilities and
changes to policyholder behaviour.
-
Net investment related gains in excess of $200 million per annum or net
losses on a year-to-date basis. Investment gains (losses) relate to
fixed income trading, non-fixed income returns, credit experience and
asset mix changes. These gain and losses are a combination of reported
investment experience as well as the impact of investing activities on
the measurement of our policy liabilities. The maximum of $200 million
per annum to be reported in core earnings compares with an average of
over $80 million per quarter of investment gains reported since first
quarter 2007.
-
Mark-to-market gains or losses on assets held in the Corporate and Other
segment other than gains on AFS equities and seed investments in new
segregated or mutual funds.
-
Changes in actuarial methods and assumptions.
-
The impact on the measurement of policy liabilities of changes in
product features or new reinsurance transactions, if material.
-
Goodwill impairment charges.
-
Gains or losses on disposition of a business.
-
Material one-time only adjustments, including highly
unusual/extraordinary and material legal settlements or other items
that are material and exceptional in nature.
-
Tax on the above items.
-
Impact of enacted or substantially enacted income tax rate changes.
Items that are included in core earnings include:
-
Expected earnings on in-force, including expected release of provisions
for adverse deviation, fee income, margins on group business and spread
business such as Manulife Bank and asset fund management.
-
Macro hedging costs based on expected market returns.
-
New business strain.
-
Policyholder experience gains or losses.
-
Acquisition and operating expenses compared to expense assumptions used
in the measurement of policy liabilities.
-
Up to $200 million of investment gains reported in a single year.
-
Earnings on surplus other than mark-to-market items. Gains on AFS
equities and seed money investments are included in core earnings.
-
Routine or non-material legal settlements.
-
All other items not specifically excluded.
-
Tax on the above items.
-
All tax related items except the impact of enacted or substantially
enacted income tax rate changes.
A2 Third quarter highlights
In the third quarter of 2012, we reported a net loss attributed to
shareholders of $227 million and core earnings14 of $556 million.
Core earnings were $27 million lower than the second quarter of 2012 and
$68 million lower than the third quarter 2011. The decline from the
third quarter 2011 was due to increased macro hedge costs (impacted by
additional hedge positions and lower interest rates), increased
business development expenses, increased expenses related to the
Company's own pension plans and lower tax provision releases related to
closed tax positions. Business growth in Asia and the favourable impact
on new business strain related to product repositioning in the U.S. and
Canada were partially offset by costs related to expansion in Asia and
lower favourable claims experience in Canada.
Excluded from core earnings in the third quarter 2012 were net charges
of $783 million. These charges included $1,006 million related to
updates to actuarial methods and assumptions and $200 million
impairment of goodwill. These items were partially offset by the
favourable impact of investing activities, which exceeded the $50
million of investment gains included in core earnings by $363 million.
The Minimum Continuing Capital and Surplus Requirements ("MCCSR") capital ratio for The Manufacturers Life Insurance Company ("MLI")
closed the quarter at 204 per cent compared to 213 per cent at the end
of the second quarter. The nine point reduction in MLI's MCCSR ratio
during the quarter was due to the combination of the increase in
required capital for asset and segregated fund guarantee risks and the
decrease in available capital related to dividends paid. The goodwill
impairment charge did not impact the ratio.
Insurance sales15 in the third quarter of 2012 were $596 million, a decline of eight per
cent from the third quarter of 2011 primarily as a result of the
non-recurrence of an event in the U.S. in 2011. In Asia, the record
sales in South East Asia16 were offset by expected lower sales in Japan following recent tax
ruling changes to the cancer product. In Canada, we reported lower but
more profitable sales in Individual Insurance, and lower large case
sales in Group Benefits. In the U.S., sales declined due to the 2011
open enrollment period for the Federal Long Term Care plan, partially
offset by an increase in JH Life sales.
Wealth sales17 exceeded $8 billion for third quarter 2012, an increase of four per
cent from the third quarter of 2011. In our asset management
businesses, sales of mutual funds in both Canada and the U.S. increased
by nine per cent compared with third quarter 2011, and sales in the
group retirement businesses increased 29 per cent in the U.S. and 17
per cent in Canada. In Asia, Manulife TEDA reported bond fund sales of
more than two and half times those in the prior year third quarter.
These increases were partially offset by lower sales of variable
annuity products across all divisions. Japan announced the withdrawal
of two variable annuity products and the U.S. announced its decision to
stop writing new business related to both fixed deferred and variable
annuity business.
________________________
|
14
|
Core earnings is a non-GAAP measure. For a discussion of our use of
non-GAAP measures, see "Performance and non-GAAP Measures" below.
|
|
15
|
Insurance sales is a non-GAAP measure. For a discussion of our use of
non-GAAP measures, see "Performance and non-GAAP Measures" below.
|
|
16
|
South East Asia refers to Indonesia, Philippines, Singapore, Malaysia,
Thailand, Vietnam and Cambodia.
|
|
17
|
Wealth sales is a non-GAAP measure. For a discussion of our use of
non-GAAP measures, see "Performance and non-GAAP Measures" below.
|
B FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
|
C$ millions unless otherwise stated,
|
|
Quarterly Results
|
|
YTD Results
|
|
unaudited
|
|
|
3Q 2012
|
|
|
2Q 2012
|
|
|
3Q 2011
|
|
|
2012
|
|
|
2011
|
|
Net income (loss) attributed to shareholders
|
|
$
|
(227)
|
|
$
|
(300)
|
|
$
|
(1,277)
|
|
$
|
679
|
|
$
|
198
|
|
Common shareholders' net income (loss)
|
|
$
|
(258)
|
|
$
|
(328)
|
|
$
|
(1,299)
|
|
$
|
596
|
|
$
|
134
|
|
Core earnings(1)
|
|
$
|
556
|
|
$
|
583
|
|
$
|
624
|
|
$
|
1,650
|
|
$
|
1,796
|
|
Earnings (loss) per common share (C$)
|
|
$
|
(0.14)
|
|
$
|
(0.18)
|
|
$
|
(0.73)
|
|
$
|
0.33
|
|
$
|
0.08
|
|
Diluted core earnings per common share, excluding convertible
instruments (C$)(1)
|
|
$
|
0.29
|
|
$
|
0.31
|
|
$
|
0.34
|
|
$
|
0.87
|
|
$
|
0.97
|
|
Return on common shareholders' equity(1) (annualized)
|
|
|
(4.6)%
|
|
|
(5.8)%
|
|
|
(22.4)%
|
|
|
3.5%
|
|
|
0.8%
|
|
U.S. GAAP net income attributed to shareholders (1)
|
|
$
|
481
|
|
$
|
2,203
|
|
$
|
2,270
|
|
$
|
2,320
|
|
$
|
3,335
|
|
Sales(1)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Insurance products
|
|
$
|
596
|
|
$
|
1,001
|
|
$
|
645
|
|
$
|
2,419
|
|
$
|
1,865
|
|
Wealth products
|
|
$
|
8,229
|
|
$
|
8,548
|
|
$
|
7,839
|
|
$
|
25,500
|
|
$
|
26,157
|
|
Premiums and deposits(1)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Insurance products
|
|
$
|
5,597
|
|
$
|
6,308
|
|
$
|
5,504
|
|
$
|
17,592
|
|
$
|
16,529
|
|
Wealth products
|
|
$
|
11,149
|
|
$
|
11,179
|
|
$
|
10,041
|
|
$
|
33,781
|
|
$
|
33,615
|
|
Funds under management(1) (C$ billions)
|
|
$
|
515
|
|
$
|
514
|
|
$
|
492
|
|
$
|
515
|
|
$
|
492
|
|
Capital(1) (C$ billions)
|
|
$
|
28.5
|
|
$
|
29.7
|
|
$
|
28.9
|
|
$
|
28.5
|
|
$
|
28.9
|
|
MLI's MCCSR ratio
|
|
|
204%
|
|
|
213%
|
|
|
219%
|
|
|
204%
|
|
|
219%
|
|
(1)
|
This item is a non-GAAP measure. For a discussion of our use of non-GAAP
measures, see "Performance and Non-GAAP Measures" below.
|
B1 Third quarter earnings (loss) analysis
The table below reconciles the third quarter 2012 core earnings of $556
million to the reported net loss attributed to shareholders of $227
million. Excluded from core earnings in the third quarter 2012 were
net charges of $783 million. These charges included $1,006 million
related to updates to actuarial methods and assumptions and $200
million impairment of goodwill. These items were partially offset by
the favourable impact of investing activities as returns exceeded the
$50 million of investment gains included in core earnings by $363
million.
The $1,006 million net charge related to the update to the actuarial
methods and assumptions is broadly grouped into three categories: (i)
updates to actuarial standards of practice, (ii) updates largely
related to the current macro-economic climate, and (iii) all other
results of the annual review of assumptions. The current
macro-economic climate, including current low interest rates and the
current level of equity markets, has made minimum interest rate
guarantees and equity fund performance guarantees more valuable and has
therefore increased the propensity of policyholders to retain their
policies and alter withdrawal patterns of their guaranteed withdrawal
benefits.
-
The charge related to updates to actuarial standards was $244 million
and related to updates to Actuarial Standards of Practice for the
calibration of equity returns used in stochastic models to value
segregated fund guarantee liabilities.
-
Charges related largely to the impact of the current macro-economic
climate were $1,120 million. Charges resulted from strengthening
withdrawal and lapse assumptions for U.S. Variable Annuity Guaranteed
Minimum Withdrawal Benefit policies, and updates to lapse assumptions
for certain life insurance products in the U.S. Charges also resulted
from updates to bond parameters for segregated fund guarantees and from
updates to interest rates for certain participating insurance
businesses.
-
Other changes to actuarial methods and assumptions netted to a gain of
$358 million. Favourable impacts to earnings resulted from updates to
mortality and morbidity assumptions, net updates to expense
assumptions, refinements to modeling of corporate spreads, refinements
to the margins on our dynamically hedged variable annuity business and
from a number of refinements in the modeling of policy cash flows.
Partially offsetting these favourable impacts were updated lapse
assumptions in Japan and Canada, and the net impact of refinements to
the modeling of cash flows and updated assumed return assumptions for
alternative assets.
As we disclosed in the second quarter of 2012, we intend to update our
ultimate reinvestment rate ("URR") assumptions on a quarterly basis
commencing in 2013.
The $200 million charge related to goodwill was associated with the
Individual Insurance business in Canada and was driven by the low
interest rate environment.
The $363 million gain related to investment activity included market
gains on non-fixed income investments in the third quarter in excess of
returns assumed in the measurement of policy liabilities, the positive
impact on the measurement of policy liabilities of originating more
favourable investments than assumed in measurement models, and the
positive impact on the measurement of policy liabilities of fixed
income trading activities to lengthen the portfolio.
|
C$ millions, unaudited
|
|
Quarterly results
|
|
For the quarter
|
|
|
3Q 2012
|
|
|
2Q 2012
|
|
|
3Q 2011
|
|
Core earnings(1)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Asia Division
|
|
$
|
230
|
|
$
|
286
|
|
$
|
220
|
|
Canada Division
|
|
|
229
|
|
|
201
|
|
|
259
|
|
U.S. Division
|
|
|
288
|
|
|
247
|
|
|
260
|
|
Corporate & Other (excluding expected cost of macro hedges)
|
|
|
(117)
|
|
|
(83)
|
|
|
(58)
|
|
Expected cost of macro hedges(2)
|
|
|
(124)
|
|
|
(118)
|
|
|
(107)
|
|
Core investment gains
|
|
|
50
|
|
|
50
|
|
|
50
|
|
Total core earnings
|
|
$
|
556
|
|
$
|
583
|
|
$
|
624
|
|
Items excluded from core earnings other than the direct impact of equity
markets and interest rates:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income (charges) on variable annuity guarantee liabilities that are
dynamically hedged(3),(4)
|
|
$
|
122
|
|
$
|
(269)
|
|
$
|
(900)
|
|
|
Investment gains related to fixed income trading, market value increases
in excess of expected alternative assets investment returns, asset mix
changes and credit experience
|
|
|
363
|
|
|
51
|
|
|
236
|
|
|
Impact of major reinsurance transactions, in-force product changes and
dispositions(5)
|
|
|
26
|
|
|
62
|
|
|
303
|
|
|
Change in actuarial methods and assumptions, excluding ultimate
reinvestment rate ("URR")
|
|
|
(1,006)
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
(651)
|
|
|
Goodwill impairment charge
|
|
|
(200)
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
Total items excluded from core earnings other than the direct impact of
equity markets and interest rates
|
|
$
|
(695)
|
|
$
|
(156)
|
|
$
|
(1,012)
|
|
Net income (loss) excluding the direct impact of equity markets and interest rates(1)
|
|
$
|
(139)
|
|
$
|
427
|
|
$
|
(388)
|
|
Direct impact of equity markets and interest rates(6):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income (charges) on variable annuity liabilities that are not
dynamically hedged(3)
|
|
$
|
298
|
|
$
|
(758)
|
|
$
|
(1,211)
|
|
|
Gains (charges) on general fund equity investments supporting policy
liabilities and on fee income
|
|
|
55
|
|
|
(116)
|
|
|
(227)
|
|
|
Gains (losses) on macro equity hedges relative to expected costs(2),(3)
|
|
|
(86)
|
|
|
423
|
|
|
882
|
|
|
Gains (charges) on higher (lower) fixed income reinvestment rates
assumed in the valuation of policy liabilities(7)
|
|
|
(330)
|
|
|
305
|
|
|
(567)
|
|
|
Gains (charges) on sale of available-for-sale (AFS) bonds and derivative
positions in the Corporate segment
|
|
|
(25)
|
|
|
96
|
|
|
301
|
|
|
Charges due to lower fixed income URR assumptions used in the valuation
of policy liabilities
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
(677)
|
|
|
(67)
|
|
Direct impact of equity markets and interest rates
|
|
$
|
(88)
|
|
$
|
(727)
|
|
$
|
(889)
|
|
Net loss attributed to shareholders
|
|
$
|
(227)
|
|
$
|
(300)
|
|
$
|
(1,277)
|
|
(1)
|
Core earnings and net income (loss) excluding the direct impact of
equity markets and interest rates are non-GAAP measures. See
"Performance and Non-GAAP Measures" below.
|
|
(2)
|
The third quarter 2012 net loss from macro equity hedges was $210
million and consisted of a $124 million charge related to the estimated
expected cost of the macro equity hedges relative to our long-term
valuation assumptions and a charge of $86 million because actual
markets outperformed our valuation assumptions.
|
|
(3)
|
Losses from macro hedge experience and the dynamic hedges in the third
quarter of 2012 were $379 million and offset 49 per cent of the gross
equity exposures. As noted below we reported a gain on variable
guarantee liabilities that are dynamically hedged.
|
|
(4)
|
Our variable annuity guarantee dynamic hedging strategy is not designed
to completely offset the sensitivity of policy liabilities to all risks
associated with the guarantees embedded in these products. The gain in
the third quarter mostly related to equity fund results that
outperformed indices as well as gains from bond funds due to tightening
of corporate spreads. See the Risk Management section of our 2011
Annual MD&A.
|
|
(5)
|
The $26 million net gain for major reinsurance transactions in the third
quarter includes a gain related to recapture of an existing assumed
reinsurance contract in JH Life and a gain related to a transaction to
coinsure 23 per cent of our U.S. fixed deferred annuity business.
|
|
(6)
|
The direct impact of equity markets and interest rates is relative to
our policy liability valuation assumptions and includes changes to
interest rate assumptions. Also included are gains and losses on
derivatives associated with our macro equity hedges. We also include
gains and losses on the sale of AFS bonds as management may have the
ability to partially offset the direct impacts of changes in interest
rates reported in the liability segments.
|
|
(7)
|
The decline in credit spreads in the quarter was the major driver of the
impact of changes in fixed income investment rates. Our hedging
activity reduced exposure to changes in risk free rates, but still left
us exposed to the effect of changes in credit spreads. While we hedge
our exposure to risk free rates, our sensitivity is not uniform across
all points on the yield curve. During the quarter, losses resulted from
twisting of the risk free curve, and these were largely offset by the
reduction in swap spreads.
|
B2 Year-to-date earnings analysis
The table below reconciles the year-to-date core earnings of $1,650
million to the reported net income attributed to shareholders of $679
million. The decline in core earnings compared with the prior year was
due to increased pension expense on the Company's pension plans,
unfavourable claims experience in the U.S., higher business development
expenses, higher macro hedge expected costs, and lower gains from tax
related items. These items were partially offset by the favourable
impact of business growth and product changes as well as the
non-recurrence of the 2011 property and casualty charge related to the
earthquake in Japan.
|
C$ millions
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
For the nine months ended September 30,
|
|
|
2012
|
|
|
2011
|
|
Core earnings
|
|
$
|
1,650
|
|
$
|
1,796
|
|
Items excluded from core earnings other than the direct impact of equity
markets and interest rates:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income (charges) on variable annuity guarantee liabilities that are
dynamically hedged
|
|
$
|
76
|
|
$
|
(960)
|
|
|
Investment gains related to fixed income trading, market value increases
in excess of expected alternative assets
investment returns, asset mix changes and credit experience
|
|
|
619
|
|
|
1,029
|
|
|
Impact of major reinsurance transactions, in-force product changes and
dispositions
|
|
|
268
|
|
|
303
|
|
|
Change in actuarial methods and assumptions, excluding ultimate
reinvestment rate ("URR")
|
|
|
(994)
|
|
|
(753)
|
|
|
Goodwill impairment charge
|
|
|
(200)
|
|
|
-
|
|
Total items excluded from core earnings other than the direct impact of
equity markets and interest rates
|
|
$
|
(231)
|
|
$
|
(381)
|
|
Net income excluding the direct impact of equity markets and interest rates
|
|
$
|
1,419
|
|
$
|
1,415
|
|
Direct impact of equity markets and interest rates
|
|
|
(740)
|
|
|
(1,217)
|
|
Net income attributed to shareholders
|
|
$
|
679
|
|
$
|
198
|
B3 U.S. GAAP results
Net income attributed to shareholders in accordance with U.S. GAAP18 for the third quarter of 2012 was $481 million, compared with a net
loss of $227 million under IFRS. As we are no longer reconciling our
financial results under U.S. GAAP in our consolidated financial
statements, net income in accordance with U.S. GAAP is considered a
non-GAAP financial measure. A reconciliation of the major differences
in net income (loss) attributed to shareholders in accordance with IFRS
to net income in accordance with U.S. GAAP for the third quarter
follows. The differences are expanded upon below.
|
C$ millions, unaudited
|
|
Quarterly results
|
|
For the quarter ended September 30,
|
|
|
2012
|
|
|
2011(1)
|
|
Net loss attributed to shareholders in accordance with IFRS
|
|
$
|
(227)
|
|
$
|
(1,277)
|
|
Key earnings differences:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
For variable annuity guarantee liabilities
|
|
$
|
(323)
|
|
$
|
2,520
|
|
Related to the impact of mark-to-market accounting and investing
activities on investment income and policy liabilities
|
|
|
235
|
|
|
900
|
|
New business differences including acquisition costs
|
|
|
(151)
|
|
|
19
|
|
Charges due to lower fixed income ultimate reinvestment rates
assumptions used in the valuation of policy liabilities under IFRS
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
67
|
|
Changes in actuarial methods and assumptions, excluding URR
|
|
|
431
|
|
|
307
|
|
Goodwill impairment charge
|
|
|
200
|
|
|
-
|
|
Changes related to major reinsurance transactions
|
|
|
55
|
|
|
(308)
|
|
Other differences
|
|
|
261
|
|
|
42
|
|
Total earnings differences
|
|
$
|
708
|
|
$
|
3,547
|
|
Net income attributed to shareholders in accordance with U.S. GAAP
|
|
$
|
481
|
|
$
|
2,270
|
|
(1)
|
Restated as a result of adopting Accounting Standards Update #
2010-26, "Accounting for Costs Associated with Acquiring or Renewing
Insurance Contracts" ("ASU 2010-26") effective January 1, 2012 but
requiring application to 2011. The impact for third quarter 2011 was a
net increase in earnings of $70 million, all of which is included in
"New business differences including acquisition costs".
|
Accounting for variable annuity guarantee liabilities
IFRS follows a predominantly "mark-to-market" accounting approach to
measure variable annuity guarantee liabilities whereas U.S. GAAP only
uses "mark-to-market" accounting for certain benefit guarantees, and
reflects the Company's own credit standing in the measurement of the
liability. In the third quarter of 2012, we reported a net gain of $97
million (2011 - $409 million gain) in our total variable annuity
businesses under U.S. GAAP as the decrease in the variable annuity
guarantee liabilities was only partially offset by the dynamic hedge
asset losses recorded in the quarter.
Investment income and policy liabilities
Under IFRS, accumulated unrealized gains and losses arising from fixed
income investments and interest rate derivatives supporting policy
liabilities are largely offset in the valuation of the policy
liabilities. The third quarter 2012 IFRS impacts on insurance
liabilities of fixed income reinvestment assumptions, general fund
equity investments, activities to reduce interest rate exposures and
certain market and trading activities totaled a net $138 million gain
(2011 - loss of $487 million) compared with U.S. GAAP net realized
gains and other investment income of $373 million (2011 - gain of $413
million).
Differences in the treatment of acquisition costs and other new business
items
Acquisition costs that are related to and vary with the production of
new business are explicitly deferred and amortized under U.S. GAAP but
are recognized as an implicit reduction in insurance liabilities along
with other new business gains and losses under IFRS.
Changes in actuarial methods and assumptions
The net charge recognized under IFRS from the annual review of actuarial
methods and assumptions of $1,006 million (2011 - charge of $651
million) compared to a net charge of $575 million (2011 - charge of
$344 million) on a U.S. GAAP basis. The charges on a U.S. GAAP basis
related primarily to changes in assumptions driven by the
macro-economic environment.
Goodwill impairment
In the third quarter of 2012, we recorded a $200 million IFRS goodwill
impairment charge related to our Canadian Individual Life Insurance
business. While we cannot currently reasonably estimate the impact, if
any, that the conditions leading to impairment under IFRS have on our
U.S. GAAP results, goodwill impairment testing on a U.S. GAAP basis
will be completed in the fourth quarter of 2012.
Impact of major reinsurance transactions
In the third quarter of 2012 we completed a coinsurance transaction
related to the John Hancock New York block of fixed deferred annuity
business. This net gain was higher on a U.S. GAAP basis.
Total equity in accordance with U.S. GAAP19 as at September 30, 2012 was approximately $17 billion higher than
under IFRS. Of this difference, approximately $11 billion was
attributable to the higher cumulative net income on a U.S. GAAP basis.
The remaining difference was primarily attributable to the treatment of
unrealized gains on fixed income investments and derivatives in a cash
flow hedging relationship which are reported in equity under U.S. GAAP,
but where the fixed income investments and interest rate derivatives
are supporting policy liabilities, these accumulated unrealized gains
are largely offset in the valuation of the policy liabilities under
IFRS. The majority of the difference in equity between the two
accounting bases as at September 30, 2012 arose from our U.S.
businesses.
A reconciliation of the major differences in total equity is as follows:
As at September 30,
C$ millions, unaudited
|
|
|
2012
|
|
|
2011
|
|
Total equity in accordance with IFRS
|
|
$
|
24,961
|
|
$
|
25,343
|
|
Differences in shareholders' retained earnings and participating
policyholders' equity
|
|
|
10,633
|
|
|
8,462
|
|
Differences in Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income attributable to:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Available-for-sale securities and other
|
|
|
5,570
|
|
|
4,362
|
|
Cash flow hedges
|
|
|
2,566
|
|
|
2,432
|
|
Translation of net foreign operations
|
|
|
(1,631)
|
|
|
(955)
|
|
Differences in share capital, contributed surplus and non-controlling
interest in subsidiaries
|
|
|
55
|
|
|
121
|
|
Total equity in accordance with U.S. GAAP
|
|
$
|
42,154
|
|
$
|
39,765
|
________________________
18 Net income in accordance with U.S. GAAP is a non-GAAP measure. See
"Performance and Non-GAAP Measures" below.
19 Total equity in accordance with U.S. GAAP is a non-GAAP measure. See
"Performance and Non-GAAP Measures" below.
B4 Total Company sales and total Company premiums and deposits20
Insurance sales in the third quarter of 2012 were $596 million, a
decline of eight per cent from the third quarter of 2011 primarily as a
result of the non-recurrence of a U.S. event in the prior year.
Manulife delivered record insurance sales in South East Asia driven by
record sales in Indonesia, as well as solid sales in Affinity products
in Canada and John Hancock Life in the U.S.:
-
Third quarter Asia insurance sales were in line with the same period a
year ago. Record insurance sales in Indonesia were 38 per cent higher
than the third quarter of 2011, led by strong bancassurance sales which
were offset by expected lower sales in Japan due to tax changes in the
second quarter of 2012.
-
In Canada, third quarter insurance sales declined seven per cent from
the third quarter of 2011. This was largely due to the decline in Group
Benefits sales reflecting normal business variability and an expected
decline in Individual Insurance sales of guaranteed long duration
products, consistent with our lower risk product strategy. Third
quarter Individual Insurance sales were aligned with our strategy to
reduce new business risk, with a significantly lower proportion of
sales with guaranteed long duration features compared to one year ago.
-
In the U.S., third quarter insurance sales decreased 20 per cent from
the same period of 2011 largely due to an expected decline in Long-Term
Care sales as a result of the non-recurrence of the 2011 Federal Long
Term Care plan open enrollment period. John Hancock Life insurance
sales increased by 14 per cent, reflecting the success of newly
launched products with a more favourable business mix.
Wealth sales exceeded $8 billion for third quarter 2012, an increase of
four per cent from the third quarter of 2011:
-
In Asia, third quarter wealth sales increased 22 per cent over the same
period of 2011 due to the continued success of fixed annuity product
sales in Japan and increased bond fund sales from Manulife TEDA in
China.
-
In Canada, third quarter wealth sales declined four per cent from the
third quarter of 2011. Strong sales in mutual funds and Group
Retirement Solutions were more than offset by lower segregated fund and
fixed product sales. Manulife Bank reported record net assets
reflecting good client retention and origination.
-
In the U.S., third quarter wealth sales increased five per cent from the
third quarter of 2011 despite a 59 per cent decrease in annuity sales
over the same period. Excluding annuity sales, third quarter wealth
sales increased 15 per cent over the third quarter of the prior year.
The increase in wealth sales reflects record third quarter sales in the
401(k) business and a nine per cent increase in mutual fund sales over
the third quarter of 2011.
Premiums and deposits measures
Total Company third quarter insurance premiums and deposits of $5.6
billion were in line with the third quarter of 2011. Growth was driven
by sales in Asia and the Affinity business in Canada, offset by a
reinsurance recapture in the U.S.
Total Company premiums and deposits for wealth businesses exceeded $11
billion for the third quarter of 2012, ten per cent higher compared
with the same quarter in 2011. Growth was strong throughout most of
Asia and also in the North American mutual fund and retirement
businesses.
________________________
20 Growth (declines) in sales and premiums and deposits is stated on a
constant currency basis. Constant currency basis is a non-GAAP
measure. See "Performance and Non-GAAP Measures" below.
B5 Funds under management21
Total funds under management as at September 30, 2012 were a record $515
billion, an increase of $23 billion or nine per cent on a constant
currency basis22 over September 30, 2011. The increase was driven by $50 billion of
investment returns and $8 billion of net positive policyholder cash
flows. These increases were partially offset by $20 billion due to the
stronger Canadian dollar; $7 billion related to the reinsurance of U.S.
fixed deferred annuity business and $8 billion of expenses,
commissions, taxes and other items.
________________________
21 Funds under management is a non-GAAP measure. See "Performance and
Non-GAAP Measures" below.
22 This item is a non-GAAP measure. See "Performance and Non-GAAP
Measures" below.
B6 Capital23
MFC's total capital as at September 30, 2012 was $28.5 billion, a
decrease of $1.2 billion from June 30, 2012 and a decrease of $0.4
billion from September 30, 2011. The decrease from September 30, 2011
was driven by $1.1 billion from the stronger Canadian dollar and cash
dividends of $0.7 billion partially offset by net capital raised of
$0.8 billion and net earnings of $0.6 billion over the period.
As at September 30, 2012 MLI reported an MCCSR ratio of 204 per cent, a
net decline of nine points compared with 213 per cent at June 30,
2012. The reduction in MLI's MCCSR ratio was largely due to the net
loss in the quarter and the increase in required capital for asset and
segregated fund guarantee risks. The goodwill impairment charge did not
impact the ratio.
________________________
23 Capital is a non-GAAP measure. See "Performance and Non-GAAP
Measures" below.
C PERFORMANCE BY DIVISION
C1 Asia Division
|
($ millions unless otherwise stated)
|
|
Quarterly results
|
|
YTD results
|
|
Canadian dollars
|
|
3Q 2012
|
|
|
2Q 2012
|
|
|
3Q 2011
|
|
|
3Q 2012
|
|
|
3Q 2011
|
|
Net income (loss) attributed to shareholders
|
$
|
491
|
|
$
|
(315)
|
|
$
|
(712)
|
|
$
|
1,287
|
|
$
|
(333)
|
|
Core earnings
|
|
230
|
|
|
286
|
|
|
220
|
|
|
783
|
|
|
725
|
|
Premiums and deposits
|
|
2,944
|
|
|
3,248
|
|
|
2,548
|
|
|
9,058
|
|
|
7,678
|
|
Funds under management (billions)
|
|
76.2
|
|
|
74.5
|
|
|
70.7
|
|
|
76.2
|
|
|
70.7
|
|
U.S. dollars
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income (loss) attributed to shareholders
|
$
|
492
|
|
$
|
(312)
|
|
$
|
(726)
|
|
$
|
1,290
|
|
$
|
(341)
|
|
Core earnings
|
|
231
|
|
|
283
|
|
|
224
|
|
|
781
|
|
|
741
|
|
Premiums and deposits
|
|
2,958
|
|
|
3,216
|
|
|
2,597
|
|
|
9,036
|
|
|
7,855
|
|
Funds under management (billions)
|
|
77.5
|
|
|
73.1
|
|
|
68.1
|
|
|
77.5
|
|
|
68.1
|
Asia Division recorded net income attributed to shareholders of US$492 million for the third quarter of 2012 compared to a net loss
of US$726 million for the third quarter of 2011. The significant
increase was primarily related to the direct impact of equity markets
and interest rates on variable annuity guarantee liabilities. Core
earnings of US$231 million increased by US$7 million compared to the
third quarter of 2011 as gains due to business growth were partially
offset by expenses related to expansion initiatives.
Year-to-date net income attributed to shareholders was US$1,290 million
compared with a net loss of US$341 million for the same period of 2011.
Premiums and deposits24 for the third quarter of 2012 were US$3.0 billion, up 15 per cent from
the third quarter of 2011. Premiums and deposits for insurance
products of US$1.6 billion were 13 per cent higher driven by in-force
business growth from all territories, most notably in Japan. Wealth
management premiums and deposits of US$1.4 billion were 19 per cent
higher driven by increased sales of Manulife TEDA bond funds and fixed
annuities in Japan.
Funds under management as at September 30, 2012 were US$77.5 billion, an increase of 14 per
cent from US$68.1 billion at September 30, 2011 on a constant currency
basis. Growth was driven by net policyholder cash inflows of US$5.3 billion
across the territories and by favourable investment returns.
________________________
24 All premium and deposit growth (declines) are stated on a constant
currency basis.
C2 Canada Division(1)
|
($ millions unless otherwise stated)
|
|
Quarterly results
|
|
YTD results
|
|
Canadian dollars
|
|
3Q 2012
|
|
|
2Q 2012
|
|
|
3Q 2011
|
|
|
3Q 2012
|
|
|
3Q 2011
|
|
Net income (loss) attributed to shareholders
|
$
|
378
|
|
$
|
223
|
|
$
|
(92)
|
|
$
|
918
|
|
$
|
681
|
|
Core earnings
|
|
229
|
|
|
201
|
|
|
259
|
|
|
602
|
|
|
707
|
|
Premiums and deposits
|
|
4,160
|
|
|
4,565
|
|
|
4,057
|
|
|
13,451
|
|
|
13,423
|
|
Funds under management (billions)
|
|
131.1
|
|
|
127.5
|
|
|
118.5
|
|
|
131.1
|
|
|
118.5
|
|
(1)
|
The Company moved the reporting of its International Group Program
business unit from U.S. Division to Canada Division in 2012. Prior
period results have been restated to reflect this change.
|
Canada Division's net income attributed to shareholders was $378 million for the third quarter of 2012 compared to a net loss
of $92 million for the third quarter of 2011. The increase was driven
by gains in the quarter and losses in the third quarter of 2011 related
to the direct impact of equity markets and interest rates and other
investment related items. Core earnings for the third quarter of 2012
were $229 million, $30 million lower than the third quarter of the
prior year primarily due to less favourable claims experience.
Year-to-date net income attributed to shareholders was $918 million
compared with $681 million for the same period of 2011.
Premiums and deposits in the third quarter of 2012 were $4.2 billion, up three per cent from
third quarter 2011 levels. Strong growth in our group retirement
business driven by sales and deposits from a growing block of in-force
participants and increased mutual fund deposits were partially offset
by lower sales of segregated fund and fixed wealth products.
Funds under management grew by 11 per cent or $12.6 billion to a record $131.1 billion as at
September 30, 2012 compared with September 30, 2011. The increase
reflects both business growth across the division and the increase in
asset market values resulting from declining interest rates and equity
market appreciation during the last 12 months.
C3 U.S. Division(1),(2)
|
($ millions unless otherwise stated)
|
|
Quarterly results
|
|
YTD results
|
|
Canadian dollars
|
|
|
3Q 2012
|
|
|
2Q 2012
|
|
|
3Q 2011
|
|
|
3Q 2012
|
|
|
3Q 2011
|
|
Net income (loss) attributed to shareholders
|
|
$
|
436
|
|
$
|
177
|
|
$
|
(1,028)
|
|
$
|
1,187
|
|
$
|
116
|
|
Core earnings
|
|
|
288
|
|
|
247
|
|
|
260
|
|
|
792
|
|
|
816
|
|
Premiums and deposits
|
|
|
8,510
|
|
|
8,684
|
|
|
8,231
|
|
|
26,282
|
|
|
26,201
|
|
Funds under management (billions)(3)
|
|
|
287.2
|
|
|
289.8
|
|
|
275.2
|
|
|
287.2
|
|
|
275.2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
U.S. dollars
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income (loss) attributed to shareholders
|
|
$
|
439
|
|
$
|
174
|
|
$
|
(1,048)
|
|
$
|
1,187
|
|
$
|
121
|
|
Core earnings
|
|
|
289
|
|
|
245
|
|
|
265
|
|
|
791
|
|
|
834
|
|
Premiums and deposits
|
|
|
8,552
|
|
|
8,594
|
|
|
8,392
|
|
|
26,224
|
|
|
26,782
|
|
Funds under management (billions)(3)
|
|
|
292.0
|
|
|
284.4
|
|
|
264.9
|
|
|
292.0
|
|
|
264.9
|
|
(1)
|
The Company moved the reporting of its International Group Program
business unit to Canada Division in 2012. Prior period results have
been restated to reflect this change.
|
|
(2)
|
The Company moved its Privately Managed Accounts unit to Corporate and
Other in 2012. Prior period results have been restated to reflect this
change.
|
|
(3)
|
Reflects the impact of annuity reinsurance transactions in Q3 and Q2
2012.
|
U.S. Division reported net income attributed to shareholders of US$439 million for the third quarter of 2012 compared to a net loss
of US$1,048 million for the third quarter of 2011. The increase was
driven by the direct impact of equity markets and interest rates, other
investment related items and gains in third quarter 2012 related to a
new deferred annuity coinsurance agreement in JH Annuities and the
termination of reinsurance assumed contracts in JH Life.
Core earnings for the third quarter of 2012 were US$289 million, an
increase of US$24 million compared to the third quarter of 2011.
Contributing to the increase were lower new business strain as a result
of repositioning activities partially offset by unfavourable
policyholder experience, the one-time reserve impact of the expected
wind up of a historical reinsurance ceded agreement and the ongoing
impact of the fixed deferred annuity coinsurance transactions.
Year-to-date net income attributed to shareholders was US$1,187 million
compared with US$121 million for the same period of 2011.
In 2010, JH LTC filed with 50 state regulators for premium rate
increases averaging approximately 40 per cent on the majority of our
in-force retail and group business. To date, approvals of in-force
price increases on retail business have been received from 41 states.
Premiums and deposits for the third quarter of 2012 were US$8.6 billion, an increase of two
per cent from the third quarter of 2011. The increase was primarily
driven by higher sales of 401(k) plans and mutual funds, partially
offset by lower sales of annuities and higher ceded premiums related to
the reinsurance transaction in JH Life.
Funds under management as at September 30, 2012 were US$292.0 billion, up 10 per cent from
September 30, 2011 on a constant currency basis. The increase was due
to positive investment returns, the impact of lower interest rates on
market value of funds under management and net sales in Wealth Asset
Management, partially offset by surrender and benefit payments in JH
Annuities and the transfer of assets related to reinsurance
transactions.
C4 Corporate and Other(1)
|
($ millions unless otherwise stated)
|
|
Quarterly results
|
|
YTD results
|
|
Canadian dollars
|
|
|
3Q 2012
|
|
|
2Q 2012
|
|
|
3Q 2011
|
|
|
3Q 2012
|
|
|
3Q 2011
|
|
Net income (loss) attributed to shareholders
|
|
$
|
(1,532)
|
|
$
|
(385)
|
|
$
|
555
|
|
$
|
(2,713)
|
|
$
|
(266)
|
|
Core earnings (losses)
|
|
|
(241)
|
|
|
(201)
|
|
|
(165)
|
|
|
(677)
|
|
|
(602)
|
|
Premiums and deposits
|
|
|
1,132
|
|
|
990
|
|
|
710
|
|
|
2,581
|
|
|
2,842
|
|
Funds under management (billions)
|
|
|
20.1
|
|
|
22.0
|
|
|
27.3
|
|
|
20.1
|
|
|
27.3
|
(1) As a result of the sale of the Life Retrocession business effective
July 1, 2011, the Company moved its P&C Reinsurance business and
run-off variable annuity reinsurance business to Corporate and Other.
In addition, Corporate and Other has been restated to include the
Privately Managed Accounts business and Life Retrocession business for
periods prior to the sale.
Corporate and Other is composed of:
-
Investment performance on assets backing capital, net of amounts
allocated to operating divisions and financing costs,
-
Investment Division's external asset management business,
-
Property and Casualty ("P&C") reinsurance business,
-
Run-off reinsurance operations including variable annuities and accident
and health.
For segment reporting purposes the impact of updates to actuarial
assumptions, settlement costs for macro equity hedges and other
non-operating items are included in this segment's earnings. In
addition, prior quarter amounts have been restated to include the Life
Retrocession business that was sold effective July 1, 2011.
Corporate and Other reported a net loss attributed to shareholders of $1,532 million for the third quarter of 2012 compared to net income
of $555 million for the third quarter of 2011. The core losses in the
third quarter of $241 million increased by $76 million compared to the
third quarter of 2011.
The increase in core losses was due to: increased amortization of
investment losses on the Company's pension plans, lower investment
income due to lower interest rates and lower average assets, higher
business development expenses, and higher macro hedge expected costs
due to additional hedges and the impact of lower interest rates. These
items were partially offset by the non-recurrence of a New Zealand
earthquake provision reported in the third quarter of 2011.
Excluded from core losses in the third quarter 2012 were charges of
$1,291 million. These charges included $1,006 million related to
updates to actuarial assumptions, $200 million related to goodwill
impairment and $86 million related to experience on the macro hedges in
excess of the expected cost. In addition, other mark-to-market gains
of $26 million were offset by $25 million of realized losses on AFS
bonds and derivative positions reported in the direct impact of
interest rates.
Gains of $720 million were excluded from core losses in the third
quarter 2011. These gains included $1,076 million related to the
direct impact of equity markets and interest rates and a gain of $303
million on the sale of our Life Retrocession business, partially offset
by updates to actuarial methods and assumptions of $651 million.
The year-to-date net loss attributed to shareholders was $2,713 million
compared with a net loss of $266 million for the same period of 2011.
Premiums and deposits for the third quarter of 2012 were $1.1 billion, up 59 per cent from
September 30, 2011 on a constant currency basis. This increase reflects
the impact of new institutional asset management mandates.
Funds under management as at September 30, 2012 of $20.1 billion declined $7.2 billion from
the third quarter 2011. The decline primarily reflects an increase in
assets supporting surplus allocated to the operating divisions and the
impact of the stronger Canadian dollar. Included in funds under
management are assets managed by Manulife Asset Management on behalf of
institutional clients of $23.7 billion (September 30, 2011 - $24.1
billion).
D RISK MANAGEMENT AND RISK FACTORS UPDATE
This section provides an update to our risk management practices and
risk factors outlined in the MD&A in our 2011 Annual Report.
D1 General macro-economic risk factors
In our 2011 Annual Report we outlined potential impacts of
macro-economic factors including the impact of a low interest
environment.
As previously outlined, due to the unfavourable economic conditions we
increasingly viewed our objective of $4 billion in net income in 2015
as a stretch target. While the macro-economic environment continues to
put pressure on our businesses, we are making progress against our
strategic priorities and have increased our focus on improving the
efficiency and effectiveness of our operations globally. We have
shifted our goal of $4 billion in net income by 2015 by roughly a year,
and we are now targeting $4 billion in core earnings in 2016 based on
our macro-economic and other assumptions. Our revised objective uses a
core earnings target metric, which is consistent with measuring the
underlying profitability of our business.
D2 Regulatory capital, actuarial and accounting risks
As outlined in our 2011 Annual Report, as a result of the recent
financial crisis, financial authorities and regulators in many
countries are reviewing their capital, actuarial and accounting
requirements, and the changes may have a material adverse effect on the
Company's consolidated financial statements and regulatory capital,
both at transition and subsequently. We may be required to raise
additional capital, which could be dilutive to existing shareholders,
or to limit the new business we write. Subsequent updates to
regulatory and professional standards are outlined below.
-
The amendments to IAS 19 "Employee Benefits" ("IAS 19R"), effective
January 1, 2013 are expected to result in a material reduction in
accumulated other comprehensive income ("AOCI"), a component of equity,
upon adoption. As at December 31, 2011, the consolidated pre-tax
unrecognized net actuarial losses for the Company's pension and
post-employment benefits were $1,011 million and $58 million,
respectively (post tax total of $722 million). The impact on adoption
of IAS 19R for MCCSR purposes is expected to be amortized over eight
quarters and will be dependent upon equity markets and interest rates
at December 31, 2012. Subsequent changes in pension related net
actuarial gains and losses are also expected to impact our MCCSR ratio.
-
Changes to U.S. statutory accounting practices concerning actuarial
reserving standards for certain universal life ("UL") products pursuant
to Actuarial Guideline 38 ("AG38") have now been promulgated by the
National Association of Insurance Commissioners ("NAIC"). The new
requirements for in-force business will affect policies issued since
July 1, 2005 and in-force on December 31, 2012. We expect that any
additional reserve and capital amounts will be manageable within the
U.S. operating companies, with no injection of capital.
-
As outlined in our 2011 Annual Report, where alternative (non-fixed
income) assets, such as commercial real estate, private equity,
infrastructure, timber, agricultural real estate and oil and gas, are
used to support policy liabilities, the policy valuation incorporates
assumptions with respect to projected investment returns and the
proportion of future policy cash flows that are invested in these
assets. Future changes in accounting and/or actuarial standards that
limit alternative asset return assumptions or the amount of future cash
flows that can be assumed to be invested in these assets could increase
policy liabilities and have a material impact on the emergence of
earnings. The impact at the time of adoption of any future changes in
accounting and/or actuarial standards would depend upon the level of
rates at the time and if applicable, the reference rate that is
adopted.
-
In 2010 the International Accounting Standards Board ("IASB") issued its
Insurance Contracts (Phase II) Exposure Draft and the U.S. Financial
Accounting Standards Board ("FASB") issued its Insurance Contract
Discussion paper. The IASB recently announced that it expects to issue
a limited re-exposure draft in 2013 and the FASB announced it expects
to issue an Exposure Draft in 2013. The final standards are not
expected to be effective until 2018.
As previously outlined, the insurance industry in Canada is working with
OSFI and the federal government with respect to the potential impact of
these proposals on Canadian insurance companies, and the industry is
urging policymakers to ensure that any future accounting and capital
proposals appropriately consider the underlying business model of a
life insurance company and, in particular, the implications for long
duration guaranteed products which are much more prevalent in North
America than elsewhere.
D3 Additional risks - Entities within the MFC Group are interconnected
which may make separation difficult
Linkages between MFC and its subsidiaries may make it difficult to
dispose of or separate a subsidiary within the group by way of spin-off
or similar transaction. See the Company's Annual Information Form -
"Risk Factors - Additional risks - Entities within the MFC Group are
interconnected which may make separation difficult". In addition to
the possible negative consequences outlined in such disclosure, other
negative consequences could include a requirement for significant
capital injections, and increased net income and capital sensitivities
of MFC and its remaining subsidiaries to market declines. MFC remains
committed to the U.S. Division.
D4 Variable annuity and segregated fund guarantees
As at September 30, 2012, approximately 65 per cent of the value of our
variable annuity and segregated fund guarantee value was either
dynamically hedged or reinsured, unchanged from June 30, 2012. The
business dynamically hedged at September 30, 2012 comprises 61 per cent
of the variable annuity guarantee values, net of amounts reinsured.
During the quarter, $240 million of additional in-force business was
dynamically hedged. Year-to-date we have added an additional $725
million of in-force guarantee value to the program. New business
continues to be hedged at issue.
The table below shows selected information regarding the Company's
variable annuity and segregated funds guarantees gross and net of
reinsurance and the business dynamically hedged.
Variable annuity and segregated fund guarantees
|
As at
|
|
September 30, 2012
|
|
June 30, 2012
|
|
C$ millions
|
|
Guarantee
value
|
|
Fund
value
|
|
Amount
at risk(4)
|
|
Guarantee
value
|
|
Fund
value
|
|
Amount
at risk(4)
|
|
Guaranteed minimum income benefit(1)
|
|
$
|
6,707
|
|
$
|
5,062
|
|
$
|
1,654
|
|
$
|
7,135
|
|
$
|
5,222
|
|
$
|
1,919
|
|
Guaranteed minimum withdrawal benefit
|
|
|
65,210
|
|
|
58,538
|
|
|
7,107
|
|
|
66,916
|
|
|
58,342
|
|
|
8,800
|
|
Guaranteed minimum accumulation benefit
|
|
|
21,846
|
|
|
22,182
|
|
|
2,089
|
|
|
22,327
|
|
|
22,224
|
|
|
2,419
|
|
Gross living benefits(2)
|
|
$
|
93,763
|
|
$
|
85,782
|
|
$
|
10,850
|
|
$
|
96,378
|
|
$
|
85,788
|
|
$
|
13,138
|
|
Gross death benefits(3)
|
|
|
13,764
|
|
|
11,365
|
|
|
2,315
|
|
|
14,493
|
|
|
11,588
|
|
|
2,745
|
|
Total gross of reinsurance and hedging
|
|
$
|
107,527
|
|
$
|
97,147
|
|
$
|
13,165
|
|
$
|
110,871
|
|
$
|
97,376
|
|
$
|
15,883
|
|
Living benefits reinsured
|
|
$
|
5,837
|
|
$
|
4,410
|
|
$
|
1,433
|
|
$
|
6,181
|
|
$
|
4,522
|
|
$
|
1,663
|
|
Death benefits reinsured
|
|
|
3,821
|
|
|
3,249
|
|
|
770
|
|
|
4,086
|
|
|
3,353
|
|
|
916
|
|
Total reinsured
|
|
$
|
9,658
|
|
$
|
7,659
|
|
$
|
2,203
|
|
$
|
10,267
|
|
$
|
7,875
|
|
$
|
2,579
|
|
Total, net of reinsurance
|
|
$
|
97,869
|
|
$
|
89,488
|
|
$
|
10,962
|
|
$
|
100,604
|
|
$
|
89,501
|
|
$
|
13,304
|
|
Living benefits dynamically hedged
|
|
$
|
54,600
|
|
$
|
51,876
|
|
$
|
4,288
|
|
$
|
55,958
|
|
$
|
51,665
|
|
$
|
5,615
|
|
Death benefits dynamically hedged
|
|
|
5,353
|
|
|
4,063
|
|
|
485
|
|
|
5,341
|
|
|
3,887
|
|
|
628
|
|
Total dynamically hedged
|
|
$
|
59,953
|
|
$
|
55,939
|
|
$
|
4,773
|
|
$
|
61,299
|
|
$
|
55,552
|
|
$
|
6,243
|
|
Living benefits retained
|
|
$
|
33,326
|
|
$
|
29,496
|
|
$
|
5,129
|
|
$
|
34,239
|
|
$
|
29,601
|
|
$
|
5,860
|
|
Death benefits retained
|
|
|
4,590
|
|
|
4,053
|
|
|
1,060
|
|
|
5,066
|
|
|
4,348
|
|
|
1,201
|
|
Total, net of reinsurance and dynamic hedging
|
|
$
|
37,916
|
|
$
|
33,549
|
|
$
|
6,189
|
|
$
|
39,305
|
|
$
|
33,949
|
|
$
|
7,061
|
|
(1)
|
Contracts with guaranteed Long Term Care benefits are included in this
category.
|
|
(2)
|
Where a policy includes both living and death benefits, the guarantee in
excess of the living benefit is included in the death benefit category
as outlined in footnote (3).
|
|
(3)
|
Death benefits include stand-alone guarantees and guarantees in excess
of living benefit guarantees where both death and living benefits are
provided on a policy.
|
|
(4)
|
Amount at risk (in-the-money amount) is the excess of guarantee values
over fund values on all policies where the guarantee value exceeds the
fund value. This amount is not currently payable. For guaranteed
minimum death benefit, the net amount at risk is defined as the current
guaranteed minimum death benefit in excess of the current account
balance. For guaranteed minimum income benefit, the net amount at risk
is defined as the excess of the current annuitization income base over
the current account value. For all guarantees, the net amount at risk
is floored at zero at the single contract level.
|
The policy liabilities established for these benefits were $9,461
million at September 30, 2012 (June 30, 2012 - $9,459 million) and
include the policy liabilities for both the hedged and the unhedged
business. For unhedged business, policy liabilities were $3,521 million
at September 30, 2012 (June 30, 2012 - $3,241 million). The policy
liabilities for the hedged block were $5,940 million at September 30,
2012 (June 30, 2012 - $6,218 million). Policy liabilities were largely
unchanged quarter over quarter, with increases related to third quarter
valuation basis review offset by the impact of favourable equity
markets.
Caution related to sensitivities
In this document, we have provided sensitivities and risk exposure
measures for certain risks. These include sensitivities due to
specific changes in market prices and interest rate levels projected
using internal models as at a specific date, and are measured relative
to a starting level reflecting the Company's assets and liabilities at
that date and the actuarial factors, investment returns and investment
activity we assume in the future. The risk exposures measure the impact
of changing one factor at a time and assume that all other factors
remain unchanged. Actual results can differ significantly from these
estimates for a variety of reasons including the interaction among
these factors when more than one changes, changes in actuarial and
investment return and future investment activity assumptions, actual
experience differing from the assumptions, changes in business mix,
effective tax rates and other market factors, and the general
limitations of our internal models. For these reasons, the
sensitivities should only be viewed as directional estimates of the
underlying sensitivities for the respective factors based on the
assumptions outlined below. Given the nature of these calculations, we
cannot provide assurance that the actual impact on net income
attributed to shareholders or on MLI's MCCSR ratio will be as
indicated.
D5 Publicly traded equity performance risk
As a result of our dynamic and macro hedging program, as at September
30, 2012, we estimate that approximately 69 to 78 per cent of our
underlying earnings sensitivity to a 10 per cent decline in equity
markets would be offset by hedges. The lower end of the range assumes
that the dynamic hedge assets would cover 80 per cent of the loss from
the dynamically hedged variable annuity guarantee liabilities and the
upper end of the range assumes the dynamic hedge assets would
completely offset the loss from the dynamically hedged variable annuity
guarantee liabilities. The range at June 30, 2012 was 65 to 74 per
cent. We have achieved our stated goal to have approximately 75 per
cent of the underlying earnings sensitivity to equity markets offset by
hedges by the end of 2014.
As outlined in our 2011 Annual Report, the macro hedging strategy is
designed to mitigate public equity risk arising from variable annuity
guarantees not dynamically hedged and from other products and fees. In
addition, our variable annuity guarantee dynamic hedging strategy is
not designed to completely offset the sensitivity of policy liabilities
to all risks associated with the guarantees embedded in these products
(see MD&A in our 2011 Annual Report).
The tables below show the potential impact on net income attributed to
shareholders resulting from an immediate 10, 20 and 30 per cent change
in market values of publicly traded equities followed by a return to
the expected level of growth assumed in the valuation of policy
liabilities. The potential impact is shown before and after taking
into account the impact of the change in markets on the hedge assets.
The potential impact is shown assuming that the change in value of the
hedge assets completely offsets the change in the dynamically hedged
variable annuity guarantee liabilities and also is shown assuming the
change in value is not completely offset.
While we cannot reliably estimate the amount of the change in
dynamically hedged variable annuity guarantee liabilities that will not
be offset by the profit or loss on the dynamic hedge assets, we make
certain assumptions for the purposes of estimating the impact on
shareholders' net income. We report the impact based on the assumption
that for a 10, 20 and 30 per cent decrease in the market value of
equities, the profit from the hedge assets offsets 80, 75 and 70 per
cent, respectively, of the loss arising from the change in the policy
liabilities associated with the guarantees dynamically hedged. For a
10, 20 and 30 per cent market increase in the market value of equities
the loss on the dynamic hedges is assumed to be 120, 125 and 130 per
cent of the gain from the dynamically hedged variable annuity guarantee
liabilities, respectively. It is also important to note that these
estimates are illustrative, and that the hedge program may underperform
these estimates, particularly during periods of high realized
volatility and/or periods where both interest rates and equity market
movements are unfavourable.
Potential impact on annual net income attributed to shareholders arising
from changes to public equity returns(1)
|
As at September 30, 2012
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
C$ millions
|
|
|
-30%
|
|
|
-20%
|
|
|
-10%
|
|
|
+10%
|
|
|
+20%
|
|
|
+30%
|
|
Underlying sensitivity of net income attributed to shareholders(2)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Variable annuity guarantees
|
|
$
|
(5,950)
|
|
$
|
(3,730)
|
|
$
|
(1,690)
|
|
$
|
1,360
|
|
$
|
2,450
|
|
$
|
3,300
|
|
Asset based fees
|
|
|
(270)
|
|
|
(180)
|
|
|
(90)
|
|
|
90
|
|
|
180
|
|
|
270
|
|
General fund equity investments(3)
|
|
|
(320)
|
|
|
(210)
|
|
|
(110)
|
|
|
100
|
|
|
200
|
|
|
300
|
|
Total underlying sensitivity
|
|
$
|
(6,540)
|
|
$
|
(4,120)
|
|
$
|
(1,890)
|
|
$
|
1,550
|
|
$
|
2,830
|
|
$
|
3,870
|
|
Impact of hedge assets
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Impact of macro hedge assets
|
|
$
|
1,860
|
|
$
|
1,240
|
|
$
|
620
|
|
$
|
(620)
|
|
$
|
(1,240)
|
|
$
|
(1,860)
|
|
Impact of dynamic hedge assets assuming the change in the value of the
hedge assets completely offsets the change in the dynamically hedged
variable annuity guarantee liabilities
|
|
|
3,180
|
|
|
1,960
|
|
|
860
|
|
|
(620)
|
|
|
(1,060)
|
|
|
(1,380)
|
|
Total impact of hedge assets assuming the change in value of the dynamic
hedge assets completely offsets the change in the dynamically hedged
variable annuity guarantee liabilities
|
|
$
|
5,040
|
|
$
|
3,200
|
|
$
|
1,480
|
|
$
|
(1,240)
|
|
$
|
(2,300)
|
|
$
|
(3,240)
|
|
Net impact assuming the change in the value of the hedge assets
completely offsets the change in the dynamically hedged variable
annuity guarantee liabilities
|
|
$
|
(1,500)
|
|
$
|
(920)
|
|
$
|
(410)
|
|
$
|
310
|
|
|
$ 530
|
|
|
$ 630
|
|
Impact of assuming the change in value of the dynamic hedge assets does
not completely offset the change in the dynamically hedged variable
annuity guarantee liabilities(4)
|
|
|
(960)
|
|
|
(490)
|
|
|
(170)
|
|
|
(120)
|
|
|
(270)
|
|
|
(420)
|
|
Net impact assuming the change in value of the dynamic hedge assets does
not completely offset the change in the dynamically hedged variable
annuity guarantee liabilities(4)
|
|
$
|
(2,460)
|
|
$
|
(1,410)
|
|
$
|
(580)
|
|
$
|
190
|
|
$
|
260
|
|
$
|
210
|
|
Percentage of underlying earnings sensitivity to movements in equity
markets that is offset by hedges if dynamic hedge assets completely
offset the change in the dynamically hedged variable annuity guarantee
liability
|
|
|
77%
|
|
|
78%
|
|
|
78%
|
|
|
80%
|
|
|
81%
|
|
|
84%
|
|
Percentage of underlying earnings sensitivity to movements in equity
markets that is offset by hedge assets if dynamic hedge assets do not
completely offset the change in the dynamically hedged variable annuity
guarantee liability(4)
|
|
|
62%
|
|
|
66%
|
|
|
69%
|
|
|
88%
|
|
|
91%
|
|
|
95%
|
|
(1)
|
See "Caution related to sensitivities" above.
|
|
(2)
|
Defined as earnings sensitivity to a change in public equity markets
including settlements on reinsurance contracts, but before the offset
of hedge assets or other risk mitigants.
|
|
(3)
|
This impact for general fund equities is calculated as at a
point-in-time and does not include: (i) any potential impact on public
equity weightings; (ii) any gains or losses on public equities held in
the Corporate and Other segment; or (iii) any gains or losses on public
equity investments held in Manulife Bank. The sensitivities assume that
the participating policy funds are self-supporting and generate no
material impact on net income attributed to shareholders as a result of
changes in equity markets.
|
|
(4)
|
For a 10, 20 and 30 per cent market decrease, the gain on the dynamic
hedge assets is assumed to be 80, 75 and 70 per cent of the loss from
the dynamically hedged variable annuity guarantee liabilities,
respectively. For a 10, 20 and 30 per cent market increase, the loss on
the dynamic hedges is assumed to be 120, 125 and 130 per cent of the
gain from the dynamically hedged variable annuity policy liabilities,
respectively. For presentation purposes, numbers are rounded.
|
|
As at June 30, 2012
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
C$ millions
|
|
-30%
|
|
|
-20%
|
|
|
-10%
|
|
|
+10%
|
|
|
+20%
|
|
|
+30%
|
|
Underlying sensitivity of net income attributed to shareholders(2)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Variable annuity guarantees
|
$
|
(5,950)
|
|
$
|
(3,760)
|
|
$
|
(1,730)
|
|
$
|
1,440
|
|
$
|
2,610
|
|
$
|
3,540
|
|
Asset based fees
|
|
(260)
|
|
|
(170)
|
|
|
(90)
|
|
|
90
|
|
|
170
|
|
|
260
|
|
General fund equity investments(3)
|
|
(270)
|
|
|
(180)
|
|
|
(90)
|
|
|
90
|
|
|
180
|
|
|
270
|
|
Total underlying sensitivity
|
$
|
(6,480)
|
|
$
|
(4,110)
|
|
$
|
(1,910)
|
|
$
|
1,620
|
|
$
|
2,960
|
|
$
|
4,070
|
|
Impact of hedge assets
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Impact of macro hedge assets
|
$
|
1,580
|
|
$
|
1,050
|
|
$
|
530
|
|
$
|
(530)
|
|
$
|
(1,050)
|
|
$
|
(1,580)
|
|
Impact of dynamic hedge assets assuming the change in the value of the
hedge assets completely offsets the change in the dynamically hedged
variable annuity guarantee liabilities
|
|
3,180
|
|
|
1,990
|
|
|
890
|
|
|
(690)
|
|
|
(1,210)
|
|
|
(1,590)
|
|
Total impact of hedge assets assuming the change in value of the dynamic
hedge assets completely offsets the change in the dynamically hedged
variable annuity guarantee liabilities
|
$
|
4,760
|
|
$
|
3,040
|
|
$
|
1,420
|
|
$
|
(1,220)
|
|
$
|
(2,260)
|
|
$
|
(3,170)
|
|
Net impact assuming the change in the value of the hedge assets
completely offsets the change in the dynamically hedged variable
annuity guarantee liabilities
|
$
|
(1,720)
|
|
$
|
(1,070)
|
|
$
|
(490)
|
|
$
|
400
|
|
$
|
700
|
|
$
|
900
|
|
Impact of assuming the change in value of the dynamic hedge assets does
not completely offset the change in the dynamically hedged variable
annuity guarantee liabilities(4)
|
|
(950)
|
|
|
(490)
|
|
|
(180)
|
|
|
(140)
|
|
|
(300)
|
|
|
(480)
|
|
Net impact assuming the change in value of the dynamic hedge assets does
not completely offset the change in the dynamically hedged variable
annuity guarantee liabilities(4)
|
$
|
(2,670)
|
|
$
|
(1,560)
|
|
$
|
(670)
|
|
$
|
260
|
|
$
|
400
|
|
$
|
420
|
|
Percentage of underlying earnings sensitivity to movements in equity
markets that is offset by hedges if dynamic hedge assets completely
offset the change in the dynamically hedged variable annuity guarantee
liability
|
|
73%
|
|
|
74%
|
|
|
74%
|
|
|
75%
|
|
|
76%
|
|
|
78%
|
|
Percentage of underlying earnings sensitivity to movements in equity
markets that is offset by hedge assets if dynamic hedge assets do not
completely offset the change in the dynamically hedged variable annuity
guarantee liability(4)
|
|
59%
|
|
|
62%
|
|
|
65%
|
|
|
84%
|
|
|
86%
|
|
|
90%
|
|
(1)
|
See "Caution related to sensitivities" above.
|
|
(2)
|
Defined as earnings sensitivity to a change in public equity markets
including settlements on reinsurance contracts, but before the offset
of hedge assets or other risk mitigants.
|
|
(3)
|
This impact for general fund equities is calculated as at a
point-in-time and does not include: (i) any potential impact on public
equity weightings; (ii) any gains or losses on public equities held in
the Corporate and Other segment; or (iii) any gains or losses on public
equity investments held in Manulife Bank. The sensitivities assume that
the participating policy funds are self-supporting and generate no
material impact on net income attributed to shareholders as a result of
changes in equity markets.
|
|
(4)
|
For a 10, 20 and 30 per cent market decrease, the gain on the dynamic
hedge assets is assumed to be 80, 75 and 70 per cent of the loss from
the dynamically hedged variable annuity guarantee liabilities,
respectively. For a 10, 20 and 30 per cent market increase, the loss on
the dynamic hedges is assumed to be 120, 125 and 130 per cent of the
gain from the dynamically hedged variable annuity policy liabilities,
respectively. For presentation purposes, numbers are rounded.
|
Potential impact on MLI's MCCSR ratio arising from public equity returns
different than the expected return for policy liability valuation(1),(2)
|
|
Impact on MLI MCCSR ratio
|
|
percentage points
|
|
|
-30%
|
|
|
-20%
|
|
|
-10%
|
|
|
+10%
|
|
|
+20%
|
|
|
+30%
|
|
September 30, 2012
|
|
|
(20)
|
|
|
(12)
|
|
|
(6)
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
1
|
|
June 30, 2012
|
|
|
(21)
|
|
|
(13)
|
|
|
(6)
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
4
|
|
|
8
|
|
(1)
|
See "Caution related to sensitivities" above.
|
|
(2)
|
For a 10, 20 and 30 per cent market decrease the gain on the dynamic
hedge assets is assumed to be 80, 75 and 70 per cent of the loss from
the dynamically hedged variable annuity guarantee liabilities,
respectively. For a 10, 20 and 30 per cent market increase the loss on
the dynamic hedge assets is assumed to be 120, 125 and 130 per cent of
the gain from the dynamically hedged variable annuity guarantee
liabilities, respectively.
|
The following table shows the notional value of shorted equity futures
contracts utilized for our variable annuity guarantee dynamic hedging
and our macro equity risk hedging strategies.
|
As at
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
C$ millions
|
|
September 30, 2012
|
|
June 30, 2012
|
|
For variable annuity guarantee dynamic hedging strategy
|
|
$
|
9,800
|
|
$
|
10,700
|
|
For macro equity risk hedging strategy
|
|
|
7,300
|
|
|
6,200
|
|
Total
|
|
$
|
17,100
|
|
$
|
16,900
|
During the quarter, we added approximately $700 million of guarantee
value to our dynamic hedging program in respect of segregated fund
guarantee business. We rebalanced our dynamic hedging program in light
of favourable equity market increases, as well as for the impact of the
actuarial basis changes.
In the macro hedging program approximately $1.1 billion of notional
value of additional equity futures were put in place during the
quarter. As a result, the Company exceeded its 2014 equity risk
reduction targets.
D6 Interest rate and spread risk
As at September 30, 2012, the sensitivity of our quarterly net income
attributed to shareholders to a 100 basis point parallel decline in
interest rates was a charge of $0.6 billion, ahead of our 2014 year end
goal of a charge of $1.1 billion. The $300 million increase in
sensitivity from June 30, 2012 was attributable to the impact from
third quarter valuation basis changes as well as the anticipated change
to a more conservative prescribed reinvestment scenario in the
calculation of policy liabilities should interest rates decline 100
basis points. These were offset by the impact of certain risk
mitigation strategies.
The 100 basis point parallel decline includes a change of one per cent
in current government, swap and corporate rates for all maturities
across all markets with no change in credit spreads between government,
swap and corporate rates, and with a floor of zero on government rates
and corporate spreads, relative to the rates assumed in the valuation
of policy liabilities, including embedded derivatives. Any impact of
moving to a more conservative prescribed reinvestment scenario should
interest rates and spreads decline in parallel and by the amounts
indicated, is incorporated into the earnings sensitivities. For this
reason, the impact of changes to rates for less than, or more than, the
amounts indicated, are unlikely to be linear. For variable annuity
guarantee liabilities that are dynamically hedged, it is assumed that
interest rate hedges are rebalanced at 20 basis point intervals.
The income impact does not allow for any future potential changes to the
URR assumptions or other potential impacts of lower interest rate
levels, for example, increased strain on the sale of new business,
lower interest earned on our surplus assets, or updates to actuarial
assumptions related to variable annuity bond fund calibration. It also
does not reflect potential management actions to realize gains or
losses on AFS fixed income assets held in the surplus segment in order
to partially offset changes in MLI's MCCSR ratio due to changes in
interest rate levels.
Potential impact on quarterly net income attributed to shareholders and
MLI's MCCSR ratio of an immediate one per cent parallel change in
interest rates relative to rates assumed in the valuation of policy
liabilities(1),(2),(3)
|
As at
|
|
September 30, 2012
|
|
June 30, 2012
|
|
|
|
-100bp
|
|
+100bp
|
|
-100bp
|
|
+100bp
|
|
Net income attributed to shareholders: (C$ millions)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Excluding change in market value of AFS fixed income assets held in the
surplus segment
|
|
$
|
(600)
|
|
$
|
200
|
|
$
|
(300)
|
|
$
|
400
|
|
From fair value changes in AFS assets held in surplus, if realized
|
|
|
900
|
|
|
(800)
|
|
|
900
|
|
|
(800)
|
|
MLI's MCCSR ratio (Percentage points):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Before impact of change in market value of AFS fixed income assets held
in the surplus segment
|
|
|
(17)
|
|
|
9
|
|
|
(13)
|
|
|
12
|
|
From fair value changes in AFS assets held in surplus, if realized
|
|
|
5
|
|
|
(5)
|
|
|
6
|
|
|
(5)
|
|
(1)
|
See "Caution related to sensitivities" above.
|
|
(2)
|
The amount of gain or loss that can be realized on AFS fixed income
assets held in the surplus segment will depend on the aggregate amount
of unrealized gain or loss. The table above only reflects the impact of
the change in the unrealized position, as the total unrealized position
will depend upon the unrealized position at the beginning of the
period.
|
|
(3)
|
Sensitivities are based on projected asset and liability cash flows at
the beginning of the quarter adjusted for the estimated impact of new
business, investment markets and asset trading during the quarter. Any
true-up to these estimates, as a result of the final asset and
liability cash flows to be used in the next quarter's projection, are
reflected in the next quarter's sensitivities. Impact of realizing 100%
of market value of AFS fixed income is as of the end of the quarter.
|
The following table shows the potential impact on net income attributed
to shareholders resulting from a change in credit spreads and swap
spreads over government bond rates for all maturities across all
markets with a floor of zero on the total interest rate, relative to
the spreads assumed in the valuation of policy liabilities.
Potential impact on quarterly net income attributed to shareholders
arising from changes to corporate spreads and swap spreads(1),(2),(3)
C$ millions
As at
|
|
September 30, 2012
|
|
June 30, 2012
|
|
Corporate spreads(4)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Increase 50 basis points
|
|
$
|
600
|
|
$
|
600
|
|
|
Decrease 50 basis points
|
|
|
(1,200)
|
|
|
(600)
|
|
Swap spreads
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Increase 20 basis points
|
|
$
|
(700)
|
|
$
|
(600)
|
|
|
Decrease 20 basis points
|
|
|
700
|
|
|
600
|
|
(1)
|
See "Caution related to sensitivities" above.
|
|
(2)
|
The impact on net income attributed to shareholders assumes no gains or
losses are realized on our AFS fixed income assets held in the surplus
segment and excludes the impact arising from changes in off-balance
sheet bond fund value arising from changes in credit spreads. The
sensitivities assume that the participating policy funds are
self-supporting and generate no material impact on net income
attributed to shareholders as a result of changes in corporate spreads.
|
|
(3)
|
Sensitivities are based on projected asset and liability cash flows at
the beginning of the quarter adjusted for the estimated impact of new
business, investment markets and asset trading during the quarter. Any
true-up to these estimates, as a result of the final asset and
liability cash flows to be used in the next quarter's projection, are
reflected in the next quarter's sensitivities.
|
|
(4)
|
Corporate spreads are assumed to grade to an expected long-term average
over five years.
|
Corporate spreads declined in the third quarter of 2012. This resulted
in an increase in sensitivity to a 50 basis point decline in corporate
spreads compared with the prior quarter. Based on spreads at the end of
the third quarter, a 50 basis point decline in corporate spreads would
result in a movement to a more conservative prescribed reinvestment
scenario for policy liability valuation. For this reason, the impact of
changes to rates for less than, or more than, the amounts indicated,
are unlikely to be linear.
E ACCOUNTING MATTERS AND CONTROLS
E1 Critical accounting and actuarial policies
Our significant accounting policies under IFRS are described in note 1
to our Consolidated Financial Statements for the year ended December
31, 2011. The critical accounting policies and the estimation
processes related to the determination of insurance contract
liabilities, fair values of financial instruments, the application of
derivative and hedge accounting, the determination of pension and other
post-employment benefit obligations and expenses, and accounting for
income taxes and uncertain tax positions are described on pages 65 to
73 of our 2011 Annual Report.
E2 Actuarial methods and assumptions
Impact of third quarter 2012 updates to assumptions
The comprehensive review of valuation assumptions is performed annually
and is designed to minimize our exposure to uncertainty by managing
both asset-related and liability-related risks. This is accomplished
by monitoring experience and selecting assumptions which represent a
best estimate view of future experience and margins that are
appropriate for the risks assumed. While the assumptions selected
represent the Company's current best estimates and assessment of risk,
the ongoing monitoring of experience and the economic environment is
likely to result in future changes to the valuation assumptions, which
could be material.
The quantification of the impact of the 2012 review of the actuarial
methods and assumptions underlying policy liabilities is as of July 1,
2012 for all lines of business except hedged Variable Annuities. For
this business, quantification was done as of September 30, 2012 to
align with the reflection of updated projected cash flows in the
hedging program.
The 2012 review of actuarial assumptions and methods that was carried
out in the third quarter resulted in an increase in reserves of $1,568
million. Net of the impacts on participating surplus and minority
interests, shareholders' income decreased by $1,006 million post tax.
The following table summarizes the impact of the third quarter changes
in actuarial methods and assumptions on policy liabilities and net
income attributed to shareholders by the three main drivers.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
C$ millions
|
|
To
|
|
To Net Income Attributed
|
|
Assumption
|
|
Policy Liabilities
|
|
to Shareholders
|
|
Related to updates to actuarial standards
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Segregated fund equity calibration
|
|
$
|
317
|
|
$
|
(244)
|
|
Largely related to current macro-economic environment
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
USVA GMWB update for lapse and withdrawal assumptions
|
|
|
722
|
|
|
(469)
|
|
|
Stochastic bond parameter update
|
|
|
595
|
|
|
(427)
|
|
|
Life insurance lapse updates
|
|
|
296
|
|
|
(194)
|
|
|
Other interest rate related impacts
|
|
|
258
|
|
|
(30)
|
|
Other annual updates
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mortality and morbidity updates
|
|
|
(196)
|
|
|
166
|
|
|
Expense updates
|
|
|
(206)
|
|
|
142
|
|
|
Other lapse updates
|
|
|
144
|
|
|
(134)
|
|
|
Alternative asset modeling refinements and assumption updates
|
|
|
215
|
|
|
(178)
|
|
|
Refinement to corporate spread modeling
|
|
|
(249)
|
|
|
167
|
|
|
Update to VA hedge business margin
|
|
|
(179)
|
|
|
126
|
|
|
Other
|
|
|
(149)
|
|
|
69
|
|
Net impact
|
|
$
|
1,568
|
|
$
|
(1,006)
|
Related to updates to actuarial standards
Effective October 15, 2012, updated standards will be in place related
to equity calibration for stochastic models used to value segregated
fund liabilities. We have elected to early adopt this standard and
reported a $244 million charge to earnings.
Related to changes in the macro-economic environment
Lapse and withdrawal assumptions were strengthened for U.S. Variable
Annuity Guaranteed Minimum Withdrawal Benefit business to reflect
emerging experience where previously there was limited to no
experience. This resulted in a charge to earnings of $469 million.
The low interest rate environment has resulted in an update to the bond
parameters used in the stochastic valuation of our segregated fund
business. Mean returns generally declined, while volatility parameters
were largely unchanged. This resulted in a $427 million charge to
earnings.
Lapse rates for certain U.S. Universal Life products with interest
guarantees and for certain Japan term insurance business were updated
to reflect reduced policyholder lapse experience, resulting in a $194
million charge to earnings.
Interest rates were updated for certain participating business in
Canada, resulting in a charge to shareholder earnings of $30 million.
Other annual updates
Updates to other liability related assumptions were the result of the
annual review or monitoring of assumptions and resulted in a $358
million favourable impact to income. Mortality gains of $166 million
included gains for updates to morbidity assumptions in Japan and
refinement of mortality assumptions in certain U.S. life insurance
segments, offset by charges for strengthening of mortality assumptions
for Canadian annuity and segregated fund business. A charge of $134
million was the result of updates to lapse assumptions for Japan and
Canadian insurance products.
Updates to expenses resulted in a $142 million favourable income impact,
and were the result of favourable investment expenses partly offset by
an update to Letter of Credit costs in the U.S.
Various refinements to the modeling of alternate asset cash flows and
offset by updates to return assumptions resulted in a charge to
shareholder income of $178 million.
A $167 million favourable income impact resulted from refinements to the
modeling of corporate spreads.
A reduction in valuation margins for segregated fund business that is
dynamically hedged resulted in a $126 million benefit to shareholder
earnings.
A $69 million favourable income impact resulted from refinements to
other policy related cash flow modeling, including realized benefits
from modeling of future tax timing differences.
E3 Sensitivity of policy liabilities to updates to assumptions
When the assumptions underlying our determination of policy liabilities
are updated to reflect recent and emerging experience or change in
outlook, the result is a change in the value of policy liabilities
which in turn affects income. The sensitivity of after-tax income to
updates to asset related assumptions underlying policy liabilities is
shown below, assuming that there is a simultaneous update to the
assumption across all business units.
For updates to asset related assumptions, the sensitivity is shown net
of the corresponding impact on income of the change in the value of the
assets supporting liabilities. In practice, experience for each
assumption will frequently vary by geographic market and business and
assumption updates are made on a business/geographic specific basis.
Actual results can differ materially from these estimates for a variety
of reasons including the interaction among these factors when more than
one changes, changes in actuarial and investment return and future
investment activity assumptions, actual experience differing from the
assumptions, changes in business mix, effective tax rates and other
market factors, and the general limitations of our internal models.
Most participating business is excluded from this analysis because of
the ability to pass both favourable and adverse experience to the
policyholders through the participating dividend adjustment.
Potential impact on annual net income attributed to shareholders arising
from changes in policy liabilities asset related assumptions
|
C$ millions
|
|
Increase (decrease) in after-tax income
|
|
As at
|
|
September 30, 2012
|
|
|
June 30, 2012
|
|
Asset related assumptions updated periodically in valuation basis
changes
|
|
|
Increase
|
|
|
Decrease
|
|
|
|
Increase
|
|
|
Decrease
|
|
100 basis point change in ultimate fixed income re-investment rates(1)
|
|
$
|
1,900
|
|
$
|
(2,200)
|
|
|
$
|
1,700
|
|
$
|
(2,100)
|
|
100 basis point change in future annual returns for public equities(2)
|
|
|
900
|
|
|
(800)
|
|
|
|
900
|
|
|
(800)
|
|
100 basis point change in future annual returns for other alternative
assets(3)
|
|
|
4,000
|
|
|
(3,900)
|
|
|
|
4,600
|
|
|
(4,100)
|
|
100 basis point change in equity volatility assumption for stochastic
segregated fund modeling(4)
|
|
|
(300)
|
|
|
300
|
|
|
|
(300)
|
|
|
300
|
|
(1)
|
Current URRs in Canada are 1.00% per annum and 3.00% per annum for short
and long-term bonds, respectively, and in the U.S. are 0.80% per annum
and 3.60% per annum for short and long-term bonds, respectively. Since
the URRs are based upon a five and ten year rolling average of
government bond rates and the URR valuation assumptions are currently
higher than the September 30, 2012 government bond rates, continuation
of current rates or a further decline could have a material impact on
net income. However, for this sensitivity, we assume the URRs decline
with full and immediate effect.
|
|
(2)
|
The sensitivity to public equity returns above includes the impact on
both segregated fund guarantee reserves and on other policy
liabilities. For a 100 basis point increase in expected growth rates,
the impact from segregated fund guarantee reserves is $600 million
(June 30, 2012 - $600 million). For a 100 basis point decrease in
expected growth rates, the impact from segregated fund guarantee
reserves is $(600) million (June 30, 2012 - $(600) million). Expected
long-term annual market growth assumptions for public equities
pre-dividends for key markets are based on long-term historical
observed experience and compliance with actuarial standards. The growth
rates for returns in the major markets used in the stochastic valuation
models for valuing segregated fund guarantees are 7.6% per annum in
Canada, 7.6% per annum in the U.S. and 5.3% per annum in Japan. Growth
assumptions for European equity funds are market-specific and vary
between 5.8% and 7.85%.
|
|
(3)
|
Other alternative assets include commercial real estate, timber and
agricultural real estate, oil and gas, and private equities. The
decrease of $200 million in sensitivity from June 30, 2012 to September
30, 2012 is primarily related to various refinements in the modeling of
cash flows for alternative assets, and the depreciation of certain
currencies against the Canadian dollar, offset by the reduction in
fixed income rates in the third quarter.
|
|
(4)
|
Volatility assumptions for public equities are based on long-term
historic observed experience and compliance with actuarial standards.
The resulting volatility assumptions are 17.15% per annum in Canada and
17.15% per annum in the U.S. for large cap public equities, and 19% per
annum in Japan. For European equity funds, the volatility assumptions
vary between 16.15% and 18.35%.
|
E4 Future accounting and reporting changes
There are a number of accounting and reporting changes issued under IFRS
including those still under development by the International Accounting
Standards Board ("IASB") that will impact the Company beginning in 2013
and later. A summary of the most recently issued new accounting
standards is as follows:
|
Topic
|
Effective date
|
Measurement
/ Presentation
|
Expected impact
|
Amendments to IFRS 10 "Consolidated Financial Statements",
IFRS 11 "Joint Arrangements" and IFRS 12 "Disclosure of Interests
in Other Entities"
|
Jan 1, 2013
|
Disclosure
|
Not expected to have a significant impact.
|
|
Annual Improvements 2009-2011 Cycle
|
Jan 1, 2013
|
Measurement
and disclosure
|
Not expected to have a significant impact.
|
IFRS 10, IFRS 11, IFRS 12 and amendments to IAS 27, and IAS 28
regarding consolidation, disclosures and related matters
|
Jan 1, 2013
|
Measurement
and disclosure
|
Not expected to have a significant impact.
|
|
IFRS 13 "Fair Value Measurement"
|
Jan 1, 2013
|
Measurement
and disclosure
|
Not expected to have a significant impact.
|
|
Amendments to IAS 1 "Presentation of Financial Statements"
|
Jan 1, 2013
|
Presentation
|
Not expected to have a significant impact.
|
|
Amendments to IAS 19 "Employee Benefits"
|
Jan 1, 2013
|
Measurement
|
Will have a material adverse effect on the financial statements and
regulatory capital at transition and subsequently.
|
|
IFRS 9 "Financial Instruments"
|
Jan 1, 2015
|
Measurement
|
Currently assessing.
|
For additional information please refer to our 2011 Annual Report and
Second Quarter Report to Shareholders for the six months ended June 30,
2012.
F OTHER
F1 Performance and Non-GAAP Measures
We use a number of non-GAAP financial measures to measure overall
performance and to assess each of our businesses. Non-GAAP measures
include: Net Income (Loss) Excluding the Direct Impact of Equity
Markets and Interest Rates; Core Earnings; Net Income in Accordance
with U.S. GAAP; Total Equity in Accordance with U.S. GAAP; Diluted
Earnings (Loss) per Share excluding Convertible Instruments; Return on
Common Shareholders' Equity; Constant Currency Basis; Deposits;
Premiums and Deposits; Funds under Management; Capital; New Business
Embedded Value; and Sales. Non-GAAP financial measures are not defined
terms under GAAP and, therefore, with the exception of Net Income in
Accordance with U.S. GAAP and Total Equity in Accordance with U.S. GAAP
(which are comparable to the equivalent measures of issuers whose
financial statements are prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP), are
unlikely to be comparable to similar terms used by other issuers.
Therefore, they should not be considered in isolation or as a
substitute for any other financial information prepared in accordance
with GAAP.
Net income (loss) excluding the direct impact of equity markets and
interest rates is a non-GAAP profitability measure. It shows what the net income
(loss) attributed to shareholders would have been assuming that
interest and equity markets performed as assumed in our policy
valuation. The direct impact of equity markets and interest rates is
relative to our policy liability valuation assumptions and includes
changes to the interest rate assumptions. We also include gains and
losses on the sale of AFS bonds as management may have the ability to
partially offset the direct impacts of changes in interest rates
reported in the liability segments. We consider the gains or losses on
the variable annuity business that is dynamically hedged to be an
indirect impact, not a direct impact, of changes in equity markets and
interest rates and accordingly, such gains and losses are reflected in
this measure.
Core earnings (losses) is a non-GAAP measure to help investors better understand the long-term
earnings capacity and valuation of the business. Core earnings excludes
the direct impact of equity markets and interest rates as well as a
number of other items, outlined below, that are considered material and
exceptional in nature. While this metric is relevant to how we manage
our business and offers a consistent methodology, it is not insulated
from macro-economic factors which can have a significant impact.
The following table summarizes for the past seven quarters' core
earnings, the net income (loss) excluding the direct impact of equity
markets and interest rates as well as the total net income (loss)
attributed to shareholders.
|
|
|
Quarterly results
|
|
C$ millions
|
|
2012
|
|
|
2011
|
|
For the quarter
|
|
|
3Q
|
|
|
2Q
|
|
|
1Q
|
|
|
|
4Q
|
|
|
3Q
|
|
|
2Q
|
|
|
1Q
|
|
Core earnings
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Asia Division
|
|
$
|
230
|
|
$
|
286
|
|
$
|
267
|
|
|
$
|
213
|
|
$
|
220
|
|
$
|
253
|
|
$
|
252
|
|
Canada Division
|
|
|
229
|
|
|
201
|
|
|
172
|
|
|
|
142
|
|
|
259
|
|
|
233
|
|
|
215
|
|
U.S. Division
|
|
|
288
|
|
|
247
|
|
|
257
|
|
|
|
189
|
|
|
260
|
|
|
266
|
|
|
290
|
|
Corporate & Other (excluding expected cost of macro hedges and Japan
earthquake)
|
|
|
(117)
|
|
|
(83)
|
|
|
(128)
|
|
|
|
(124)
|
|
|
(58)
|
|
|
(8)
|
|
|
(74)
|
|
Expected cost of macro hedges
|
|
|
(124)
|
|
|
(118)
|
|
|
(107)
|
|
|
|
(97)
|
|
|
(107)
|
|
|
(104)
|
|
|
(100)
|
|
Core investment gains
|
|
|
50
|
|
|
50
|
|
|
50
|
|
|
|
50
|
|
|
50
|
|
|
50
|
|
|
50
|
|
Japan earthquake
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
(151)
|
|
Total core earnings
|
|
$
|
556
|
|
$
|
583
|
|
$
|
511
|
|
|
$
|
373
|
|
$
|
624
|
|
$
|
690
|
|
$
|
482
|
|
Items excluded from core earnings other than the direct impact of equity
markets and interest rates:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income (charges) on variable annuity guarantee liabilities that are
dynamically hedged
|
|
$
|
122
|
|
$
|
(269)
|
|
$
|
223
|
|
|
$
|
(193)
|
|
$
|
(900)
|
|
$
|
(52)
|
|
$
|
(8)
|
|
Investment gains related to fixed income trading, market value increases
in excess of expected alternative assets investment returns, asset mix
changes and credit experience
|
|
|
363
|
|
|
51
|
|
|
205
|
|
|
|
261
|
|
|
236
|
|
|
323
|
|
|
470
|
|
Impact of major reinsurance transactions and in-force product changes
|
|
|
26
|
|
|
112
|
|
|
122
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
Change in actuarial methods and assumptions, excluding URR
|
|
|
(1,006)
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
12
|
|
|
|
2
|
|
|
(651)
|
|
|
(32)
|
|
|
(70)
|
|
Goodwill impairment charge
|
|
|
(200)
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
(665)
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
Gain (loss) on sale of Life Retrocession Business in 3Q 2011
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
(50)
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
303
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
Tax rate changes
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
58
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
Total items excluded from core earnings other than the direct impact of
equity markets and interest rates
|
|
$
|
(695)
|
|
$
|
(156)
|
|
$
|
620
|
|
|
$
|
(595)
|
|
$
|
(1,012)
|
|
$
|
239
|
|
$
|
392
|
|
Net income (loss) excluding the direct impact of equity markets and
interest rates
|
|
$
|
(139)
|
|
$
|
427
|
|
$
|
1,131
|
|
|
$
|
(222)
|
|
$
|
(388)
|
|
$
|
929
|
|
$
|
874
|
|
Direct impact of equity markets and interest rates:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income (charges) on variable annuity liabilities that are not
dynamically hedged
|
|
$
|
298
|
|
$
|
(758)
|
|
$
|
982
|
|
|
$
|
234
|
|
$
|
(1,211)
|
|
$
|
(217)
|
|
$
|
102
|
|
Gains (charges) on general fund equity investments supporting policy
liabilities and on fee income
|
|
|
55
|
|
|
(116)
|
|
|
121
|
|
|
|
56
|
|
|
(227)
|
|
|
(73)
|
|
|
30
|
|
Gains (losses) on macro equity hedges relative to expected costs
|
|
|
(86)
|
|
|
423
|
|
|
(556)
|
|
|
|
(250)
|
|
|
882
|
|
|
142
|
|
|
(138)
|
|
Gains (charges) on higher (lower) fixed income reinvestment rates
assumed in the valuation of policy liabilities
|
|
|
(330)
|
|
|
305
|
|
|
(425)
|
|
|
|
122
|
|
|
(567)
|
|
|
(28)
|
|
|
192
|
|
Gains (charges) on sale of AFS bonds and derivative positions in the
Corporate segment
|
|
|
(25)
|
|
|
96
|
|
|
(47)
|
|
|
|
(9)
|
|
|
301
|
|
|
107
|
|
|
(75)
|
|
Charges due to lower fixed income URR assumptions used in the valuation
of policy liabilities
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
(677)
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
(67)
|
|
|
(370)
|
|
|
-
|
|
Direct impact of equity markets and interest rates
|
|
$
|
(88)
|
|
$
|
(727)
|
|
$
|
75
|
|
|
$
|
153
|
|
$
|
(889)
|
|
$
|
(439)
|
|
$
|
111
|
|
Net income (loss) attributed to shareholders
|
|
$
|
(227)
|
|
$
|
(300)
|
|
$
|
1,206
|
|
|
$
|
(69)
|
|
$
|
(1,277)
|
|
$
|
490
|
|
$
|
985
|
Net income in accordance with U.S. GAAP is a non-GAAP profitability measure. It shows what the net income would
have been if the Company had applied U.S. GAAP as its primary financial
reporting basis. We consider this to be a relevant profitability
measure given our large U.S. domiciled investor base and for
comparability to our U.S. peers who report under U.S. GAAP.
Total equity in accordance with U.S. GAAP is a non-GAAP measure. It shows what the total equity would have been
if the Company had applied U.S. GAAP as its primary financial reporting
basis. We consider this to be a relevant measure given our large U.S.
domiciled investor base and for comparability to our U.S. peers who
report under U.S. GAAP.
Diluted earnings (loss) per share excluding convertible instruments, is a non-GAAP measure. It shows diluted earnings (loss) per share
excluding the dilutive effect of convertible instruments.
The following is a reconciliation of the denominator (weighted average
number of common shares) in the calculation of basic and diluted
earnings per share.
For the quarter ended
|
|
in millions
|
|
September 30
|
|
|
|
|
2012
|
|
|
2011
|
|
Weighted average number of actual common shares outstanding
|
|
|
1,816
|
|
|
1,789
|
|
Dilutive number of shares for stock-based awards
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
Dilutive number of shares for convertible instruments
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
Weighted average number of common shares used in the diluted earnings
per share calculation
|
|
|
1,816
|
|
|
1,789
|
Return on common shareholders' equity ("ROE") is a non-GAAP profitability measure that presents the net
income available to common shareholders as a percentage of the capital
deployed to earn the income. The Company calculates return on common
shareholders' equity using average common shareholders' equity
excluding Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income (Loss) ("AOCI") on AFS
securities and cash flow hedges.
|
Return on common shareholders' equity
|
|
Quarterly results
|
|
C$ millions
|
|
3Q 2012
|
|
2Q 2012
|
|
3Q 2011
|
|
Common shareholders' net income (loss)
|
|
$
|
(258)
|
|
$
|
(328)
|
|
$
|
(1,299)
|
|
Opening total equity attributed to common shareholders
|
|
$
|
23,070
|
|
$
|
23,072
|
|
$
|
23,201
|
|
Closing total equity attributed to common shareholders
|
|
$
|
22,047
|
|
$
|
23,070
|
|
$
|
23,077
|
|
Weighted average total equity available to common shareholders
|
|
$
|
22,559
|
|
$
|
23,071
|
|
$
|
23,139
|
|
Opening AOCI on AFS securities and cash flow hedges
|
|
$
|
163
|
|
$
|
198
|
|
$
|
259
|
|
Closing AOCI on AFS securities and cash flow hedges
|
|
$
|
213
|
|
$
|
163
|
|
$
|
28
|
|
Adjustment for average AOCI
|
|
$
|
(188)
|
|
$
|
(181)
|
|
$
|
(143)
|
|
Weighted average total equity attributed to common shareholders
excluding average AOCI adjustment
|
|
$
|
22,371
|
|
$
|
22,890
|
|
$
|
22,996
|
|
ROE based on weighted average total equity attributed to common
shareholders (annualized)
|
|
|
(4.5)%
|
|
|
(5.7)%
|
|
|
(22.3)%
|
ROE based on weighted average total equity attributed to common
shareholders excluding average
AOCI adjustment (annualized)
|
|
|
(4.6)%
|
|
|
(5.8)%
|
|
|
(22.4)%
|
The Company also uses financial performance measures that are prepared
on a constant currency basis, which exclude the impact of currency fluctuations and which are
non-GAAP measures. Quarterly amounts stated on a constant currency
basis in this report are calculated, as appropriate, using the income
statement and balance sheet exchange rates effective for the third
quarter of 2012.
Premiums and deposits is a non-GAAP measure of top line growth. The Company calculates
premiums and deposits as the aggregate of (i) general fund premiums,
net of reinsurance, reported as premiums on the Consolidated Statement
of Income, (ii) premium equivalents for administration only group
benefit contracts, (iii) premiums in the Canadian Group Benefits
reinsurance ceded agreement, (iv) segregated fund deposits, excluding
seed money, (v) mutual fund deposits, (vi) deposits into institutional
advisory accounts, and (vii) other deposits in other managed funds.
|
Premiums and deposits
|
|
Quarterly results
|
|
C$ millions
|
|
3Q 2012
|
|
2Q 2012
|
|
3Q 2011
|
|
Net premium income
|
|
$
|
2,187
|
|
$
|
(969)
|
|
$
|
4,262
|
|
Deposits from policyholders
|
|
|
5,539
|
|
|
5,623
|
|
|
5,109
|
|
Premiums and deposits per financial statements
|
|
$
|
7,726
|
|
$
|
4,654
|
|
$
|
9,371
|
|
Add back premiums ceded relating to FDA coinsurance
|
|
|
1,799
|
|
|
5,428
|
|
|
-
|
|
Investment contract deposits
|
|
|
40
|
|
|
43
|
|
|
27
|
|
Mutual fund deposits
|
|
|
4,335
|
|
|
4,337
|
|
|
3,790
|
|
Institutional advisory account deposits
|
|
|
1,106
|
|
|
894
|
|
|
602
|
|
ASO premium equivalents
|
|
|
673
|
|
|
725
|
|
|
666
|
|
Group benefits ceded premiums
|
|
|
967
|
|
|
1,313
|
|
|
931
|
|
Other fund deposits
|
|
|
100
|
|
|
93
|
|
|
158
|
|
Total premiums and deposits
|
|
$
|
16,746
|
|
$
|
17,487
|
|
$
|
15,545
|
|
Currency impact
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
(178)
|
|
|
139
|
|
Constant currency premiums and deposits
|
|
$
|
16,746
|
|
$
|
17,309
|
|
$
|
15,684
|
Funds under management is a non-GAAP measure of the size of the Company. It represents the
total of the invested asset base that the Company and its customers
invest in.
|
Funds under management
|
|
Quarterly results
|
|
C$ millions
|
|
3Q 2012
|
|
2Q 2012
|
|
3Q 2011
|
|
Total invested assets
|
|
$
|
224,761
|
|
$
|
227,939
|
|
$
|
225,925
|
|
Total segregated funds net assets
|
|
|
205,841
|
|
|
203,563
|
|
|
190,336
|
|
Funds under management per financial statements
|
|
$
|
430,602
|
|
$
|
431,502
|
|
$
|
416,261
|
|
Mutual funds
|
|
|
55,705
|
|
|
53,821
|
|
|
47,743
|
|
Institutional advisory accounts (excluding segregated funds)
|
|
|
21,441
|
|
|
21,805
|
|
|
21,861
|
|
Other funds
|
|
|
6,849
|
|
|
6,663
|
|
|
5,944
|
|
Total fund under management
|
|
$
|
514,597
|
|
$
|
513,791
|
|
$
|
491,809
|
|
Currency impact
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
(12,621)
|
|
|
(19,794)
|
|
Constant currency funds under management
|
|
$
|
514,597
|
|
$
|
501,170
|
|
$
|
472,015
|
Capital The definition we use for capital, a non-GAAP measure, serves as a
foundation of our capital management activities at the MFC level. For
regulatory reporting purposes, the numbers are further adjusted for
various additions or deductions to capital as mandated by the
guidelines used by OSFI. Capital is calculated as the sum of (i) total
equity excluding AOCI on cash flow hedges and (ii) liabilities for
preferred shares and capital instruments.
|
Capital
|
|
Quarterly results
|
|
C$ millions
|
|
3Q 2012
|
|
2Q 2012
|
|
3Q 2011
|
|
Total equity
|
|
$
|
24,961
|
|
$
|
26,085
|
|
$
|
25,343
|
|
Add AOCI loss on cash flow hedges
|
|
|
58
|
|
|
73
|
|
|
96
|
|
Add liabilities for preferred shares and capital instruments
|
|
|
3,495
|
|
|
3,511
|
|
|
3,475
|
|
Total capital
|
|
$
|
28,514
|
|
$
|
29,669
|
|
$
|
28,914
|
New business embedded value ("NBEV") is the change in shareholders' economic value as a result of
sales in the reporting period. NBEV is calculated as the present value
of expected future earnings, after the cost of capital, on actual new
business sold in the period using future mortality, morbidity,
policyholder behaviour, expense and investment assumptions that are
consistent with the assumptions used in the valuation of our policy
liabilities.
The principal economic assumptions used in the NBEV calculations in the
third quarter were as follows:
|
|
|
|
Canada
|
|
|
U.S.
|
|
|
Hong Kong
|
|
|
Japan
|
|
MCCSR ratio
|
|
|
150%
|
|
|
150%
|
|
|
150%
|
|
|
150%
|
|
Discount rate
|
|
|
8.50%
|
|
|
8.50%
|
|
|
9.25%
|
|
|
6.25%
|
|
Jurisdictional income tax rate
|
|
|
26%
|
|
|
35%
|
|
|
16.50%
|
|
|
33%
|
|
Foreign exchange rate
|
|
|
n/a
|
|
|
1.0191
|
|
|
0.1314
|
|
|
0.0130
|
|
Yield on surplus assets
|
|
|
4.50%
|
|
|
4.50%
|
|
|
4.50%
|
|
|
2.00%
|
Sales are measured according to product type:
For total individual insurance, sales include 100 per cent of new
annualized premiums and 10 per cent of both excess and single premiums.
For individual insurance, new annualized premiums reflect the
annualized premium expected in the first year of a policy that requires
premium payments for more than one year. Sales are reported gross
before the impact of reinsurance. Single premium is the lump sum
premium from the sale of a single premium product, e.g. travel
insurance.
For group insurance, sales include new annualized premiums and
administrative services only premium equivalents on new cases, as well
as the addition of new coverages and amendments to contracts, excluding
rate increases.
For individual wealth management contracts, all new deposits are
reported as sales. This includes individual annuities, both fixed and
variable; variable annuity products; mutual funds; college savings 529
plans; and authorized bank loans and mortgages.
For group pensions/retirement savings, sales of new regular premiums and
deposits reflect an estimate of expected deposits in the first year of
the plan with the Company. Single premium sales reflect the assets
transferred from the previous plan provider. Sales include the impact
of the addition of a new division or of a new product to an existing
client. Total sales include both new regular and single premiums and
deposits.
F2 Caution regarding forward-looking statements
From time to time, MFC makes written and/or oral forward-looking
statements, including in this document. In addition, our
representatives may make forward-looking statements orally to analysts,
investors, the media and others. All such statements are made pursuant
to the "safe harbour" provisions of Canadian provincial securities laws
and the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The
forward-looking statements in this document include, but are not
limited to, statements with respect to our 2015 management objectives
for earnings and 2016 management objectives for core earnings,
potential future charges related to fixed income URR assumptions if
current low interest rates persist and additional risks regarding
entities within the MFC group that are interconnected which may make
separation difficult. The forward-looking statements in this document
also relate to, among other things, our objectives, goals, strategies,
intentions, plans, beliefs, expectations and estimates, and can
generally be identified by the use of words such as "may", "will",
"could", "should", "would", "likely", "suspect", "outlook", "expect",
"intend", "estimate", "anticipate", "believe", "plan", "forecast",
"objective", "seek", "aim", "continue", "goal", "restore", "embark" and
"endeavour" (or the negative thereof) and words and expressions of
similar import, and include statements concerning possible or assumed
future results. Although we believe that the expectations reflected in
such forward-looking statements are reasonable, such statements involve
risks and uncertainties, and undue reliance should not be placed on
such statements and they should not be interpreted as confirming market
or analysts' expectations in any way. Certain material factors or
assumptions are applied in making forward-looking statements, including
in the case of our 2016 management objectives for core earnings and
return on equity, the assumptions described under "Key Planning
Assumptions and Uncertainties" in our 2011 Annual Report and actual
results may differ materially from those expressed or implied in such
statements. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ
materially from expectations include but are not limited to: the
factors identified in "Key Planning Assumptions and Uncertainties" in
our 2011 Annual Report; general business and economic conditions
(including but not limited to the performance, volatility and
correlation of equity markets, interest rates, credit and swap spreads,
currency rates, investment losses and defaults, market liquidity and
creditworthiness of guarantors, reinsurers and counterparties); changes
in laws and regulations; changes in accounting standards; our ability
to execute strategic plans and changes to strategic plans; downgrades
in our financial strength or credit ratings; our ability to maintain
our reputation; impairments of goodwill or intangible assets or the
establishment of valuation allowances against future tax assets; the
accuracy of estimates relating to morbidity, mortality and policyholder
behaviour; the accuracy of other estimates used in applying accounting
policies and actuarial methods; our ability to implement effective
hedging strategies and unforeseen consequences arising from such
strategies; our ability to source appropriate assets to back our long
dated liabilities; level of competition and consolidation; our ability
to market and distribute products through current and future
distribution channels; unforeseen liabilities or asset impairments
arising from acquisitions and dispositions of businesses; the
realization of losses arising from the sale of investments classified
as available-for-sale; our liquidity, including the availability of
financing to satisfy existing financial liabilities on expected
maturity dates when required; obligations to pledge additional
collateral; the availability of letters of credit to provide capital
management flexibility; accuracy of information received from
counterparties and the ability of counterparties to meet their
obligations; the availability, affordability and adequacy of
reinsurance; legal and regulatory proceedings, including tax audits,
tax litigation or similar proceedings; our ability to adapt products
and services to the changing market; our ability to attract and retain
key executives, employees and agents; the appropriate use and
interpretation of complex models or deficiencies in models used;
political, legal, operational and other risks associated with our
non-North American operations; acquisitions and our ability to complete
acquisitions including the availability of equity and debt financing
for this purpose; the disruption of or changes to key elements of the
Company's or public infrastructure systems; environmental concerns; and
our ability to protect our intellectual property and exposure to claims
of infringement. Additional information about material factors that
could cause actual results to differ materially from expectations and
about material factors or assumptions applied in making forward-looking
statements may be found in the body of this document as well as under
"Risk Factors" in our most recent Annual Information Form, under "Risk
Management", "Risk Management and Risk Factors" and "Critical
Accounting and Actuarial Policies" in the Management's Discussion and
Analysis in our most recent annual report, under "Risk Management and
Risk Factors Update" and "Critical Accounting and Actuarial Policies"
in the Management's Discussion and Analysis in our most recent interim
report, in the "Risk Management" note to consolidated financial
statements in our most recent annual and interim reports and elsewhere
in our filings with Canadian and U.S. securities regulators. The
forward-looking statements in this documents are, unless otherwise
indicated, stated as of the date hereof and are presented for the
purpose of assisting investors and others in understanding our
financial position and results of operations as well as our objectives
and strategic priorities, and may not be appropriate for other
purposes. We do not undertake to update any forward-looking
statements, except as required by law.
Consolidated Statements of Income (Loss)
|
Consolidated Statements of Income (Loss)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(Canadian $ in millions except per share information, unaudited)
|
For the three months ended
|
|
|
September 30
|
|
|
|
2012
|
|
|
2011
|
|
Revenue
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net premium income prior to FDA coinsurance 1
|
$
|
3,986
|
|
$
|
4,262
|
|
Premiums ceded relating to FDA coinsurance
|
|
(1,799)
|
|
|
-
|
|
Investment income
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Investment income
|
|
2,185
|
|
|
3,697
|
|
|
Realized/ unrealized gains on assets supporting insurance and investment
contract liabilities 2
|
|
1,419
|
|
|
13,491
|
|
Other revenue
|
|
1,831
|
|
|
2,005
|
|
Total revenue
|
$
|
7,622
|
|
$
|
23,455
|
|
Contract benefits and expenses
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
To contractholders and beneficiaries
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Death, disability and other claims
|
$
|
2,370
|
|
$
|
2,182
|
|
|
Maturity and surrender benefits
|
|
1,179
|
|
|
1,339
|
|
|
Annuity payments
|
|
803
|
|
|
860
|
|
|
Policyholder dividends and experience rating refunds
|
|
275
|
|
|
233
|
|
|
Net transfers from segregated funds
|
|
(146)
|
|
|
(147)
|
|
|
Change in insurance contract liabilities 2
|
|
5,042
|
|
|
19,697
|
|
|
Change in investment contract liabilities
|
|
7
|
|
|
46
|
|
|
Ceded benefits and expenses
|
|
(1,491)
|
|
|
(1,260)
|
|
|
Change in reinsurance assets 1
|
|
(2,560)
|
|
|
(294)
|
|
Net benefits and claims
|
$
|
5,479
|
|
$
|
22,656
|
|
|
General expenses
|
|
1,095
|
|
|
1,006
|
|
|
Investment expenses
|
|
284
|
|
|
250
|
|
|
Commissions
|
|
944
|
|
|
922
|
|
|
Interest expense
|
|
246
|
|
|
353
|
|
|
Net premium taxes
|
|
71
|
|
|
67
|
|
|
Goodwill impairment
|
|
200
|
|
|
-
|
|
Total contract benefits and expenses
|
$
|
8,319
|
|
$
|
25,254
|
|
Loss before income taxes
|
$
|
(697)
|
|
$
|
(1,799)
|
|
Income tax recovery
|
|
367
|
|
|
615
|
|
Net loss
|
$
|
(330)
|
|
$
|
(1,184)
|
|
|
Less:
|
Net income attributed to non-controlling interest in subsidiaries
|
|
4
|
|
|
4
|
|
|
|
Net income (loss) attributed to participating policyholders
|
|
(107)
|
|
|
89
|
|
Net loss attributed to shareholders
|
$
|
(227)
|
|
$
|
(1,277)
|
|
|
Preferred share dividends
|
|
(31)
|
|
|
(22)
|
|
Common shareholders' net loss
|
$
|
(258)
|
|
$
|
(1,299)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Basic loss per common share
|
$
|
(0.14)
|
|
$
|
(0.73)
|
|
Diluted loss per common share
|
$
|
(0.14)
|
|
$
|
(0.73)
|
|
1
|
On June 29, 2012 and September 25, 2012 the Company entered into
coinsurance agreements to insure 89 per cent of the Company's book
value of its fixed deferred annuity business. Under the terms of the
agreements, the Company will maintain responsibility for servicing of
the policies and managing some of the assets and has retained 11 per
cent of the risk.
|
|
2
|
The volatility in realized/unrealized gain on assets supporting
insurance and investment contract liabilities relates primarily to the
impact of interest rates changes on bond and fixed income derivative
positions as well as interest rate swaps supporting the dynamic hedge
program. These items are mostly offset by changes in the measurement of
our policy obligations. For fixed income assets supporting insurance
and investment contracts, equities supporting pass through products and
derivatives related to variable annuity hedging programs, the impact of
realized/ unrealized gains on the assets is largely offset in the
change in insurance and investment contract liabilities.
|
|
Consolidated Statements of Financial Position
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(Canadian $ in millions, unaudited)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As at September 30
|
|
Assets
|
|
2012
|
|
|
2011
|
|
Invested assets
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash and short-term securities
|
$
|
10,299
|
|
$
|
13,804
|
|
|
Securities
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bonds
|
|
120,045
|
|
|
120,172
|
|
|
|
Stocks
|
|
11,233
|
|
|
9,856
|
|
|
Loans
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mortgages
|
|
34,459
|
|
|
34,792
|
|
|
|
Private placements
|
|
19,225
|
|
|
20,297
|
|
|
|
Policy loans
|
|
6,716
|
|
|
6,938
|
|
|
|
Bank loans
|
|
2,202
|
|
|
2,295
|
|
|
Real estate
|
|
8,436
|
|
|
6,912
|
|
|
Other invested assets
|
|
12,146
|
|
|
10,859
|
|
Total invested assets
|
$
|
224,761
|
|
$
|
225,925
|
|
Other assets
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Accrued investment income
|
$
|
1,805
|
|
$
|
1,840
|
|
|
Outstanding premiums
|
|
781
|
|
|
698
|
|
|
Derivatives
|
|
16,345
|
|
|
14,410
|
|
|
Goodwill and intangible assets
|
|
5,135
|
|
|
6,088
|
|
|
Reinsurance assets
|
|
18,574
|
|
|
9,377
|
|
|
Deferred tax asset
|
|
2,266
|
|
|
2,004
|
|
|
Miscellaneous
|
|
5,331
|
|
|
4,398
|
|
Total other assets
|
$
|
50,237
|
|
$
|
38,815
|
|
Segregated funds net assets
|
$
|
205,841
|
|
$
|
190,336
|
|
Total assets
|
$
|
480,839
|
|
$
|
455,076
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Liabilities and Equity
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Policy liabilities
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Insurance contract liabilities
|
$
|
198,877
|
|
$
|
188,929
|
|
|
Investment contract liabilities
|
|
2,361
|
|
|
2,491
|
|
Bank deposits
|
|
18,953
|
|
|
18,530
|
|
Deferred tax liability
|
|
716
|
|
|
791
|
|
Derivatives
|
|
7,673
|
|
|
7,267
|
|
Other liabilities
|
|
12,504
|
|
|
12,212
|
|
|
$
|
241,084
|
|
$
|
230,220
|
|
Long-term debt
|
|
5,458
|
|
|
5,702
|
|
Liabilities for preferred shares and capital instruments
|
|
3,495
|
|
|
3,475
|
|
Segregated funds net liabilities
|
|
205,841
|
|
|
190,336
|
|
Total liabilities
|
$
|
455,878
|
|
$
|
429,733
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equity
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Issued share capital
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Preferred shares
|
$
|
2,301
|
|
$
|
1,618
|
|
|
Common shares
|
|
19,803
|
|
|
19,483
|
|
Contributed surplus
|
|
255
|
|
|
240
|
|
Shareholders' retained earnings
|
|
2,389
|
|
|
2,826
|
|
Shareholders' accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)
|
|
(400)
|
|
|
528
|
|
Total shareholders' equity
|
$
|
24,348
|
|
$
|
24,695
|
|
Participating policyholders' equity
|
|
126
|
|
|
249
|
|
Non-controlling interest in subsidiaries
|
|
487
|
|
|
399
|
|
Total equity
|
$
|
24,961
|
|
$
|
25,343
|
|
Total liabilities and equity
|
$
|
480,839
|
|
$
|
455,076
|
SOURCE Manulife Financial Corporation
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