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Changing Thermal Power Mix - Is Gas a Viable Substitute for Coal?

MexicoRussiaJapanItalyChinaScope

- Coal and gas power installed capacity and power generation forecast for key countries

- Key drivers and restraints impacting gas fired generation inncluding impact of shale gas.

- Regulations affecting coal and gas power generation in key countries

- Develop strategies based on the latest power sector trends.

- Position yourself to gain the maximum advantage from gas power generation growth potential.

- Identify key partners and business development avenues.

- Respond to your competitors' business structure, strategy and prospects.

1 Table of Contents

1 Table of Contents 3

1.1 List of Tables 4

1.2 List of Figures 5

2 Introduction 6

2.1 Thermal Power Generation 6

2.1.1 Supercritical and Ultra-supercritical Generation 6

2.1.2 Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle 6

2.1.3 Unconventional Natural Gas 7

2.2 GlobalData Report Guidance 8

3 Gas vs. Coal - Drivers of Change 9

3.1 Detailed Analysis of Key Drivers - Efficiency, Emissions, Cost and Reserves 9

3.1.1 Emissions - Gas is the Cleanest Fossil Fuel 9

3.1.2 Efficiency - Combined-cycle Gas Plants are the Most Efficient 10

3.1.3 Economics 11

3.1.4 Coal Reserves Depleting Fast but New Gas Reserves Being Discovered 13

4 Gas vs. Coal - Current Market Dynamics 15

4.1 Regional Analysis 15

4.1.1 North America 15

4.1.2 South America 15

4.1.3 Europe and Russia 15

4.1.4 Middle East 15

4.1.5 Asia-Pacific 16

4.1.6 Africa 16

4.2 Role of Unconventional Gas 18

4.3 US - Gas is the Way Ahead 19

4.3.1 Overview 19

4.3.2 Coal vs. Gas - What do the Numbers Say? 19

4.3.3 US Gas Power Market, Drivers and Impact Analysis 23

4.3.4 US Gas Power Market, Restraints and Impact Analysis, 2011-2020 25

4.3.5 US, Power Market, Regulations and Key Initiatives 27

4.4 Mexico - Gas Power to Lead 29

4.4.1 Overview 29

4.4.2 Coal vs. Gas - What Do the Numbers Say? 29

4.4.3 Mexico Gas Power Market, Drivers and Impact Analysis, 2011-2025 33

4.4.4 Mexico Gas Power Market, Restraints and Impact Analysis, 2011-2025 35

4.4.5 Mexico, Power Market, Regulations and Key Initiatives 38

4.5 Russia - Natural Gas Inevitable to Meet Electricity Demand 39

4.5.1 Overview 39

4.5.2 Coal vs. Gas - What Do the Numbers Say? 39

4.5.3 Russia Gas Power Market, Drivers and Impact Analysis, 2011-2025 43

4.5.4 Russia Gas Power Market, Restraints and Impact Analysis, 2011-2025 43

4.5.5 Russia, Power Market, Regulations and Key Initiatives 44

4.6 Japan - Gas to Fill Power Gap Created by Nuclear Disaster 46

4.6.1 Overview 46

4.6.2 Coal vs. Gas - What Do the Numbers Say? 46

4.6.3 Japan Gas Power Market, Drivers and Impact Analysis, 2011-2025 50

4.6.4 Japan Gas Power Market, Restraints and Impact Analysis, 2011-2025 50

4.6.5 Japan Gas Power Market, Challenges and Impact Analysis, 2011-2025 52

4.6.6 Japan, Power Market, Regulations and Key Initiatives 53

4.7 Italy - Gas Power Growth to Remain Stable while Renewable Leads 55

4.7.1 Overview 55

4.7.2 Coal vs. Gas - What Do the Numbers Say? 55

4.7.3 Italy Gas Power Market, Drivers and Impact Analysis, 2011-2025 59

4.7.4 Italy Gas Power Market, Restraints and Impact Analysis, 2011-2025 61

4.7.5 Italy, Power Market, Regulations and Key Initiatives 65

4.8 UK - Gas to Aid Transition to a Low-carbon Economy 67

4.8.1 Overview 67

4.8.2 Coal vs. Gas - What Do the Numbers Say? 67

4.8.3 UK Gas Power Market, Drivers and Impact Analysis 71

4.8.4 UK Gas Power Market, Restraints and Impact Analysis, 2011-2020 72

4.8.5 UK, Power Market, Regulations and Key Initiatives 74

4.9 China - Gas Power Generation to More than Triple but Coal Continues to Remain Dominant 77

4.9.1 Overview 77

4.9.2 Coal vs. Gas - What Do the Numbers Say? 77

4.9.3 China Gas Power Market, Drivers and Impact Analysis, 2011-2025 81

4.9.4 China Gas Power Market, Restraints and Impact Analysis, 2011-2025 83

4.9.5 China, Power Market, Regulations and Key Initiatives 87

5 Appendix 89

5.1 Definitions 89

5.1.1 Power 89

5.1.2 Installed Capacity 89

5.1.3 Electricity Generation 89

5.1.4 Electricity Consumption 89

5.1.5 Thermal Power Plant 89

5.1.6 Hydropower Plant 89

5.1.7 Nuclear Power 89

5.1.8 Renewable Energy Resources 89

5.1.9 Overnight Cost 89

5.2 Abbreviations 90

5.3 Bibliography 92

5.4 Methodology 93

5.4.1 Coverage 93

5.4.2 Secondary Research 94

5.4.3 Primary Research 94

5.5 Contact Us 94

5.6 Disclaimer 94

Table 2: Power Market, Global, Energy Efficiency of Advanced Technology Power Plants (%), 2011 10

Table 3: Gas Power Market, Global, Cost of Electricity Generation from Natural Gas and Coal in the US ($/MWh), 2011 11

Table 4: Thermal Power Market, US, Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2025 20

Table 5: Thermal Power Market, US, Power Generation (GWh), 2000-2025 22

Table 6: Power Market, US, Coal and Gas Production (trillion Btu), 2009-2025 24

Table 7: Thermal Power Market, US, Coal and Gas Prices ($/MMBtu), 2009-2025 27

Table 8: Thermal Power Market, Mexico, Natural Gas and Coal Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2025 30

Table 9: Thermal Power Market, Mexico, Power Generation (GWh), 2000-2025 32

Table 10: Power Market, Mexico, Trends in GDP ($bn) and Electricity Consumption (GWh), 2005-2017 33

Table 11: Thermal Power Market, Mexico, Natural Gas Production and Imports (bcf), 2000-2011 36

Table 12: Thermal Power Market, Russia, Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2025 40

Table 13: Thermal Power Market, Russia, Power Generation (GWh), 2000-2025 42

Table 14: Thermal Power Market, Russia, Forecast of Phase by Phase Gas Development (bcm), 2005-2030 44

Table 15: Thermal Power Market, Russia, Capital Investments in the Gas Industry ($bn), 2009-2030 44

Table 16: Thermal Power Market, Japan, Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2025 47

Table 17: Thermal Power Market, Japan, Power Generation (GWh), 2000-2025 49

Table 18: Thermal Power Market, Japan, Natural Gas Production and Imports (bcf), 2000-2011 51

Table 19: Thermal Power Market, Italy, Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2025 56

Table 20: Thermal Power Market, Italy, Power Generation (GWh), 2000-2025 58

Table 21: Thermal Power Market, Italy, Oil Power Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2025 60

Table 22: Thermal Power Market, Italy, Natural Gas Production and Imports (bcf), 2000-2011 62

Table 23: Power Market, Italy, Solar PV Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2025 64

Table 24: Thermal Power Market, UK, Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2025 68

Table 25: Thermal Power Market, UK, Power Generation (GWh), 2000-2025 70

Table 26: Power Market, UK, Natural Gas Production (bcf), 2000-2011 72

Table 27: Thermal Power Market, UK, CCGT Power Plant Cost ($/kW), 2010 73

Table 28: Thermal Power Market, UK, SO2 Emissions Limit for New-new Power Plant (mg/m3), 2011 75

Table 29: Thermal Power Market, UK, NOx Emissions Limit for Existing and New Power Plants (mg/m3), 2011 75

Table 30: Thermal Power Market, UK, NOx Emissions Limit for New-new Power Plants (mg/m3), 2011 75

Table 31: Thermal Power Market, China, Coal and Gas Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2025 78

Table 32: Thermal Power Market, China, Coal and Gas Power Generation (GWh), 2000-2025 80

Table 33: Power Market, China, Wind Power Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2025 82

Table 34: Thermal Power Market, China, Natural Gas Imports (bcf), 2006-2011 83

Table 35: Thermal Power Market, China, Natural Gas Production and Consumption (bcf), 2000-2011 84

Table 36: Power Market, China, Natural Gas and Renewable Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2025 85

Figure 2: Types of Natural Gas 7

Figure 3: Thermal Power Market, Global, Cost, Efficiency vs. Emissions, 2011 12

Figure 4: Thermal Power Market, Global, Proven Coal Reserves (million metric tonnes), 1991-2011 13

Figure 5: Thermal Power Market, Global, Proven Gas Reserves (tcm), 1991-2011 14

Figure 6: Thermal Power Market, Global, Analysis of Major Gas Power-generating Countries, 2011 16

Figure 7: Thermal Power Market, Global, Major Gas Power-generating Countries, 2011 17

Figure 8: Thermal Power Market, US, Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2025 19

Figure 9: Thermal Power Market, US, Power Generation (GWh), 2000-2025 21

Figure 10: Power Market, US, Coal and Gas Production (trillion Btu), 2009-2025 23

Figure 11: Power Market, US, Installed Capacity (MW), 2011-2020 25

Figure 12: Thermal Power Market, US, Coal and Gas Prices ($/MMBtu), 2009-2025 26

Figure 13: Thermal Power Market, Mexico, Natural Gas and Coal Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2025 29

Figure 14: Thermal Power Market, Mexico, Power Generation (GWh), 2000-2025 31

Figure 15: Power Market, Mexico, Trends in GDP ($bn) and Electricity Consumption (GWh), 2005-2017 33

Figure 16: Thermal Power Market, Mexico, Natural Gas Production and Imports (bcf), 2000-2011 36

Figure 17: Thermal Power Market, Mexico, Installed Capacity (%), 2011 and 2025 37

Figure 18: Thermal Power Market, Russia, Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2025 39

Figure 19: Thermal Power Market, Russia, Power Generation (GWh), 2000-2025 41

Figure 20: Thermal Power Market, Japan, Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2025 46

Figure 21: Thermal Power Market, Japan, Power Generation (GWh), 2000-2025 48

Figure 22: Thermal Power Market, Japan, Natural Gas Price Comparison ($/MBtu), 2008-2012 50

Figure 23: Thermal Power Market, Japan, Natural Gas Production and Imports (bcf), 2000-2011 51

Figure 24: Thermal Power Market, Italy, Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2025 55

Figure 25: Thermal Power Market, Italy, Power Generation (GWh), 2000-2025 57

Figure 26: Thermal Power Market, Italy, Oil Power Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2025 59

Figure 27: Thermal Power Market, Italy, Natural Gas Production and Imports (bcf), 2000-2011 62

Figure 28: Power Market, Italy, Solar PV Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2025 63

Figure 29: Thermal Power Market, UK, Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2025 67

Figure 30: Thermal Power Market, UK, Power Generation (GWh), 2000-2025 69

Figure 31: Power Market, UK, Natural Gas Production (bcf), 2000-2011 72

Figure 32: Thermal Power Market, China, Coal and Gas Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2025 77

Figure 33: Thermal Power Market, China, Coal and Gas Power Generation (GWh), 2000-2025 79

Figure 34: Power Market, China, Wind Power Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2025 82

Figure 35: Thermal Power Market, China, Natural Gas Imports (bcf), 2006-2011 83

Figure 36: Thermal Power Market, China, Natural Gas Production and Consumption (bcf), 2000-2011 84

Figure 37: Power Market, China, Natural Gas and Renewable Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2025 85

To order this report:Oil_and_Gas_energy Industry: Changing Thermal Power Mix - Is Gas a Viable Substitute for Coal?

Nicolas Bombourg

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