From the Wires
German Cities Top Commercial Real Estate Investment Prospects As Investors Continue To Seek Safe Havens
By: PR Newswire
Jan. 18, 2013 11:43 AM
- New Emerging Trends in Real Estate® Europe 2013 Report released by Urban Land Institute and PricewaterhouseCoopers
LONDON, Jan. 18, 2013 /PRNewswire/ -- German cities dominate the investment prospects for Europe's commercial real estate sector as investors continue to favour safe haven locations according to Emerging Trends in Real Estate® Europe 2013, a real estate forecast published jointly by the Urban Land Institute (ULI) and PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC). The ranking of 27 cities across Europe, based on respondents' expectations for market performance in 2013, sees Munich top the league table followed closely by Berlin in second place and Hamburg in fifth position, with investors taking comfort from each of the cities' strong local micro-economic climate and resilient property market conditions.
London, which is seen by many as Europe's ultimate safe haven market, is the largest riser in this year's report taking third position. Investors continue to be attracted by the size and liquidity of its real estate market, the stability of sterling as a currency and its ability to stand alone from the rest of the UK and Europe's economic issues.
Overall, the highest ranked cities are the larger Western European centres with international appeal and better economic prospects. In contrast, the worst performing cities were those in countries at the heart of the Eurozone crisis or struggling to cope with the consequences of the 2008 financial meltdown such as Athens, Lisbon, Dublin, Madrid and Barcelona.
Respondents to this year's survey were the most optimistic about the future of their own businesses since 2008. This is indicative of a wider trend, which sees a movement away from investment strategies centered on whole countries, cities or industry sectors and towards a focus on specific individual assets and opportunities.
"Almost five years since the start of the financial crisis, real estate investors remain cautious about capital deployment and the availability of debt" comments Joe Montgomery, chief executive of ULI Europe. "As a result investors are focusing on the harder to find opportunities in blue-chip cities such as Munich, Berlin, London and Paris, rather than turning to secondary locations in search of higher returns."
Simon Hardwick, real estate partner at PwC Legal, said: "Our report shows that real estate investors are approaching opportunities with a new mindset, conscious that the environment in which they are operating is 'the new normal' and is set to stay the same for some time yet. Investors face ongoing challenges but are cautiously optimistic about their prospects for the first time in many years."
Top Investment Markets for 2013
The top five European real estate investment markets in 2013 are predicted to be:
NOTES TO EDITORS:
A copy of Emerging Trends in Real Estate® Europe 2013 is available for download: http://www.uli.org/wp-content/uploads/ULI-Documents/Emerging-Trends-Europe-2013.pdf
Top 10 European Cities for Existing Property Investments
Emerging Trends in Real Estate® Europe
Emerging Trends in Real Estate® Europe is a joint report published annually since 2003 by the Urban Land Institute (ULI) and Pricewaterhouse Cooper (PwC). The report provides an outlook on European real estate investment and development trends, real estate finance and capital markets, as well as trends by property sector and geographical area. It is based on the opinions of more than 500 internationally renowned real estate professionals, including investors, developers, lenders, agents and consultants.
Analysis from Dirk Brounen, professor of real estate economics at Tilburg University, which compares actual IPD property market performance data with past Emerging Trends predictions, demonstrates that the report has correctly predicted what the overall trend for European real estate would be in eight out of the past 10 years.
About the Urban Land Institute
The Urban Land Institute (www.uli.org) is a global nonprofit education and research institute supported by its members. Its mission is to provide leadership in the responsible use of land and in creating and sustaining thriving communities worldwide. Established in 1936, the Institute has nearly 30,000 members representing all aspects of land use and development disciplines.
PwC helps organizations and individuals create the value they're looking for. We're a network of firms in 158 countries with more than 180,000 people who are committed to delivering quality in assurance, tax and advisory services. Tell us what matters to you and find out more by visiting us at www.pwc.com.
PwC refers to the PwC network and/or one or more of its member firms, each of which is a separate legal entity. Please see www.pwc.com/structure for further details.
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