.NET News Desk
Microsoft Puts Floor Under Tech - At Least for the Moment
Microsoft Leading
Jan. 29, 2008 09:15 AM
Forget the fact that Microsoft came in Thursday with
record-breaking fiscal Q2 earnings, up 92%, to $4.7 billion, or 50 cents a
share, on revenues, up 30%, to $16.37 billion and an operating income of $6.48
billion, the giant leaps are skewed because of an easy compare due to deferred
revenue and the company's technology guarantee programs last year.
Analysts expected 46 cents on $15.95 billion.
But that's history. What's important as Wall Street tries to
stumble back from the January weenie roast that threw billions of dollars on
the fire was Microsoft's guidance.
And Microsoft didn't disappoint. It jacked its forecasts up
and came in with numbers that met or bettered pundits' figures.
This quarter it's expecting to earn between 43 and 45 cents
on revenues of $14.3 billion-$14.6 billion, with an operating income of $5.6
billion to $5.7 billion. And for the year it thinks it'll clear $1.85-$1.88 on
$59.9 billion to $60.5 billion, with operating income between $24.2 billion and
$24.4 billion.
Its optimism in the face of US spending and recession fears
is expected to put a much-needed floor under tech - which is after all the most
important platform in technology right now - something Apple failed to do
Wednesday and was turned into pulp as a result.
In contrast to Apple's serious loss - down $65 in the last
few weeks after its declines Thursday - Microsoft was up 4.6% to $34.79
after-hours.
In a statement ahead of the company's conference call, COO
Kevin Turner said, "We are in the midst of another strong year with great
momentum heading into calendar year 2008. We continue to see healthy demand
from both businesses and consumers in the United States and our growth in
emerging markets is especially strong. Looking across Brazil, Russia,
India and China, our
field revenue reached a combined growth rate over 65% this quarter."
On the call CFO Chris Liddell said that Microsoft, which can
be conservative in its forecasts, is "cautious about what may happen in
the US economy" but so
far he's seeing "no spillover from an economic slowdown in the US into our
business."
Microsoft has buffers like the fact that 60% of its business
comes from outside the US, but so far the American consumer is holding up his
end, Liddell said, pointing to Xbox sales.
Microsoft is projecting 13%-14% growth in PC sales, up a
point for its year, which ends in June, and no declines other than
"historic seasonality." Office should grow 16%-17%, not 14%-15%.
Servers and tools, it figures, will be good for 17%-18% growth, not 16%-18%. Online
services should be up 37%-40%, not 33%-37%. And entertainment and device
revenue should be up 21%-24%, not 15%-20%.
Overall Microsoft is firing on all cylinders on all products
in all channel and all geographies. Liddell said that "all of our
businesses met or beat our expectations" in the last six months and, as
proof, revenue of over $16 billion exceeds its previous record by $2 billion.
The company also said that since Vista
came out a year ago its client business has grown over 20% on average to $4.34
billion in revenues crediting its anti-piracy initiatives. Vista
licenses, as it previously announced, have passed the 100 million mark and the
first service pack is due this quarter.
In Q2 Microsoft's Business Division and its Server and Tools
unit each saw double-digit revenue growth rates year-over-year and together
increased revenue over $1 billion versus last year. The Business Division
generated 23% business revenue growth complements of the new Office, SharePoint
and Exchange models. That works out to $4.81 billion in sales. Meanwhile,
Server 2008 and its friends are due to launch next month.
Microsoft has sold a total of 17.7 million Xbox 360s, it
said, since it started selling the widgets, which is 70% better than where it
was this time last year.
About Maureen O'GaraMaureen O'Gara the most read technology reporter for the past 20 years, is the Cloud Computing and Virtualization News Desk editor of SYS-CON Media. She is the publisher of famous "Billygrams" and the editor-in-chief of "Client/Server News" for more than a decade. One of the most respected technology reporters in the business, Maureen can be reached by email at maureen(at)sys-con.com or paperboy(at)g2news.com, and by phone at 516 759-7025. Twitter: @MaureenOGara